Closest to the Pin Contest: Round 5 West Virginia

Update: December 28 (Game Results) With the Cat’s 69-83 loss to West Virginia, we congratulate three VU Hoops readers who took medals in this round. Gold Medal: TK87 (70-84), earning 5.0 points; Silver Medal: FLM’33 (70-80), earning 3.0 points; Bronze Medal: StatsManOne (73-84) earning 1.0 point. Our updated leader board is provided below.

VUHoops vs. Vegas: Based on the average predicted scores of the VUHoops Crowd and the posted Vegas line, we would have PUSHED by betting ‘Nova +8.5 (LOSS) and the Over (WIN). The details follow. With the push, we remain down $200 for the season.

VU Hoops Vegas Bet Actual Result
Spread ‘Nova +2.0 ‘Nova +8.5 ‘Nova +8.5 WVU by 14 LOSS
Over 138 137 OVER 152 WIN

Leader Board

Reader Points
Scott0220 10.0
schitzengigles10 7.5
TK87 5.0
FLM'33 3.0
Bstep011 2.5
chuck st.petersburg 2.5
Nervous Nelly 2.5
novasmu 2.5
Steph 2.5
Beardog 1.5
Clarkkell 1.5
Dom 1.5
JDW71 1.5
Johnnyb1 1.5
NovaCat94 1.5
Old School 1.5
Rick19 1.5
stats 1.5
TimW 1.5
StatsManOne 1.0
Jimdribble 0.5
jtc123 0.5
Stevie V 0.5

Update: December 28, 7:00 PM A total of 61 VUHoops readers posted predictions, with 29 (49%) picking the Mountaineers to win. As a group, the readers see ‘Nova losing by a score of 68-70 (a margin of 2.0 points and implied over/under of 138). The Vegas odds makers pick West Virginia to win by 8.5 and set the over/under at 137.0 points, implying a final score of 64-73.

Scatter Plot of Predicted Scores

Window Opening: December 27, 3:00 PM The window is now open for our readers to post their predicted final scores for Wednesday night’s game at West Virginia (7:00PM, WPHL) in the fifth round of our Closest to the Pin Contest. Points now double with conference play underway. Scott0220 stands alone in first place; click here to see the full leader board.

Villanova (7-5, 0-0) is unranked in the AP and ESPN/USA Today Coaches Polls but is ranked #60 by Kenpom.com. The Cats have a RPI of 79, a SOS of 50, and score an average of 72.8 PPG while giving up an average of 66.0.

West Virginia (9-3, 0-0) also is unranked in the AP and ESPN/USA Today Coaches Polls, but is ranked #31 by Kenpom.com. The Mountaineers have an RPI of 35, a SOS of 40, and are scoring an average of 77.2 PPG while giving up an average of 66.3 PPG. Morgantown is always a tough place to play, but the Mountaineers can be beaten there (e.g., Kent State). The table below sets out their wins and losses so far this season.

Opponent RPI AP Location Score
Wins
Oral Roberts 70 - Home 78 71
Alcorn State 223 - Home 97 62
Morehead State 209 - Home 83 48
Akron 127 - Home 77 56
Kansas State 20 - Away 85 80
Miami 49 - Home 77 66
Texas A&M 310 - Home 84 64
Tennessee Tech 188 - Home 72 53
Missouri State 112 - Home 70 68
Losses
Kent State 98 - Home 60 70
Mississippi State 61 21 Away 62 75
Baylor 10 6 Home 81 83

Be sure to read Brian's game preview. We’ll post the Las Vegas spread / over-under on game day. Good luck!

Special Note: When posting predictions, be sure to:

  • Use a consistent handle / ID so that we can keep an accurate running leader board over the course of the season. Obviously, score predictions posted by anonymous readers cannot be accepted.
  • List your predicted score for Villanova first, followed by the score for the opponent (e.g., Cats 100, Mountain Men 75)
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