Closest to the Pin Contest Round 7: South Florida

Update: January 5 (Game Results) With the Cat’s 57-74 loss to South Florida, we congratulate four VUHoops readers who took medals in this round. Gold Medal: FruitLoops (64-68), earning 5.0 points; Silver Medal: Pretty Toney (69-71), earning 3.0 points; Bronze Medals: Beardog (59-60) and Jim89 (72-75) earning 1.0 point each. Our updated leader board is provided below.

VUHoops vs. Vegas: Based on the average predicted scores of the VUHoops Crowd and the posted Vegas line, we would have had a PUSH by betting ‘Nova +7.5 (LOSS) and the Over (WIN). The details follow. With the push, we remain even for the season.

VU Hoops Vegas Bet Actual Result
Spread ‘Nova +8.0 ‘Nova +7.5 ‘Nova +7.5 South Florida by 17 LOSS
Over 138 126.5 Over 131 WIN

Leader Board

Reader Points
Scott0220 10.0
schitzengigles10 7.5
Clarkkell 6.5
FruitLoops 5.0
Kait'08 5.0
TK87 5.0
Dom 4.5
FLM'33 3.0
Pretty Toney 3.0
Beardog 2.5
Bstep011 2.5
chuck st.petersburg 2.5
Nervous Nelly 2.5
novasmu 2.5
Steph 2.5
JDW71 1.5
Johnnyb1 1.5
NovaCat94 1.5
Old School 1.5
Rick19 1.5
stats 1.5
TimW 1.5
Jim89 1.0
Jimmy 1.0
StatsManOne 1.0
Top Gere 1.0
Jimdribble 0.5
jtc123 0.5
Stevie V 0.5

Update: January 5 (Game time) A total of 60 VUHoops readers posted predictions, with 5 picking the Bulls to win. As a group, the readers see ‘Nova winning by a score of 73-65 (a margin of 8.0 points and implied over/under of 138). The Vegas odds makers pick Villanova to win by 7.5 and set the over/under at 126.5 points, implying a final score of 67-60.

Scatter Plot of Predicted Scores


Window Opening: Tuesday, January 3, 5:30 PM The window is now open for our readers to post their predicted final scores for Thursday’s game home at the Pavilion (8:00PM ET, WPHL17) in the seventh round of our Closest to the Pin Contest. Scott0220 stands alone in first place; click here to see our full leader board.

Villanova (7-7, 0-2) is unranked in the AP and ESPN/USA Today Coaches Polls but is ranked #60 by Kenpom.com. The Cats have an RPI of 90, a SOS of 31, and score an average of 72.9 PPG (8th in the Big East) while giving up an average of 68.3 (8th in the Big East).

South Florida (8-7, 1-1) unranked in the AP and ESPN/USA Today Coaches Polls but is ranked #135 by Kenpom.com. The Bulls have an RPI of 138, a SOS of 75, and are scoring an average of 61.3 PPG (16th in the Big East) while giving up an average of 58.3 PPG (16th in the Big East). The table below sets out their wins and losses so far this season.

Opponent RPI AP Home/Away SFU Opponent
WINS
Vermont 205 - Home 61 59
Marist 267 - Home 81 67
Florida Southern - Home 73 43
Georgia Southern 298 - Home 66 46
Florida Atlantic 174 - Home 68 55
Florida A&M 342 - Home 83 59
Cleveland State 63 - Home 70 55
Rutgers 231 - Home 67 65
LOSSES
Old Dominion 133 - Away 66 68
Penn State 162 - Away 49 53
Virginia Commonwealth 73 - Away 46 69
Kansas 45 15 Away 42 70
Auburn 193 - Away 40 52
Southern Miss 18 - Away 51 53
Connecticut 4 9 Home 57 60

Be sure to read our game preview tomorrow. We’ll add the Las Vegas spread / over-under when it’s posted. Good luck!

Special Note: When posting predictions, be sure to:

  • Use a consistent handle / ID so that we can keep an accurate running leader board over the course of the season. Obviously, score predictions posted by anonymous readers cannot be accepted.
  • List your predicted score for Villanova first, followed by the score for the opponent (e.g., Cats 100, Bulls 75)
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