Closest to the Pin Round 10:  Cincinnati

Update: January 14 (Game Results) With the Cat’s 78-82 loss to Cincinnati, we congratulate three VUHoops readers who took medals in this round. Gold Medal: Bill ‘62 (81-78), earning 5.0 points; Silver Medal: Southoftheborder (82-78), earning 3.0 points; Bronze Medal: Jimmy (72-77) earning 1.0 point. Our updated leader board is provided below.

VUHoops vs. Vegas: Based on the average predicted scores of the VUHoops Crowd and the posted Vegas line, we would have had a DOUBLE-WIN by betting DePaul +7.5 (LOSS) and the Under (LOSS). The details follow. With the double-win, we are now -$200 for the season.

VU Hoops Vegas Bet Actual Result
Spread ‘Nova +3 ‘Nova +8 ‘Nova +8 Cincy by 4 WIN
Over 137 134 Over 156 WIN

Leader Board

Reader Points
Clarkkell 14.0
Scott0220 10.0
TK87 9.5
schitzengigles10 7.5
barry class of 57 5.0
Bill '62 5.0
FruitLoops 5.0
Kait'08 5.0
BZ34 4.5
Dom 4.5
DP5 4.5
Loser Cruiser 4.5
Stevie V 3.5
FLM'33 3.0
Old School 3.0
Pretty Toney 3.0
Robertrise 3.0
Southoftheborder 3.0
Beardog 2.5
Bstep011 2.5
chuck st.petersburg 2.5
Nervous Nelly 2.5
novamsu 2.5
Steph 2.5
Jimmy 2.0
JDW71 1.5
JMac726 1.5
Johnnyb1 1.5
NovaCat94 1.5
Rick19 1.5
stats 1.5
TimW 1.5
bhank 1.0
Jim89 1.0
StatsManOne 1.0
Top Gere 1.0
Jimdribble 0.5
jtc123 0.5

Update: January 14 (Game Time) A total of 54 VUHoops readers have posted predictions, with 25 (46%) picking the Bearcats to win. As a group, the readers see ‘Nova losing by a score of 67-70 (a margin of 3.0 points and implied over/under of 137). The Vegas odds makers pick Cincinnati to win by 8.0 and set the over/under at 134.0 points, implying a final score of 63-71.

Scatter Plot of Predicted Scores


Window Opening (Thursday, January 12, 8:30 PM) The window is now open for readers to post their predicted final scores for ‘Nova’s game at Cincinnati on Saturday at 12 Noon ET (WPHL-17) in our Closest to the Pin Contest. Clarkkell now stands alone in first place with 14.0 points. Click here to see our updated leader board.

Villanova (8-9, 1-4) is unranked in the AP and ESPN/USA Today Coaches Polls but is ranked #81 by Kenpom.com. The Cats have a RPI of 109, a SOS of 12, and score an average of 72.4 PPG while giving up an average of 69.4 PPG.

Cincinnati (13-4, 3-1) is unranked in the AP and ESPN/USA Today Coaches Polls, but is ranked #44 by Kenpom.com. The Bearcats have an RPI of 111, a SOS of 226, and are scoring an average of 69.9 PPG while giving up an average of 57.6 PPG. The wins and losses break down as follows:

Opponent RPI AP H/A Cincinnati Opponent
WINS
Alabama State 301 - Home 65 40
Jacksonville 305 - Home 73 59
Northwestern State 164 - Home 71 43
Miami (OH) 235 - Home 56 47
Georgia 110 - Away 57 51
Wright State 159 - Away 78 58
Radford 315 - Home 101 70
Arkansas Pine Bluffs 318 - Home 101 53
Chicago State 288 - Home 95 60
Oklahoma 82 - Home 56 55
Pittsburgh 105 22 Away 66 63
Notre Dame 97 - Home 71 55
Georgetown 19 9 Away 68 64
LOSSES
Presbyterian 270 - Home 54 56
Marshall 40 - Home 69 73
Xavier 47 8 Away 53 76
St. John's 141 - Home 55 57

Be sure to check out Brian’s game preview.

When posting predictions, please:

  • Use a consistent handle / ID so that we can keep an accurate running leader board over the course of the season. Obviously, score predictions posted by anonymous readers cannot be accepted.
  • List your predicted score for Villanova first, followed by the score for the opponent (e.g., Cats 100, Bearcats 75)
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