Closest to the Pin Round 12: St. John's

Update: January 18 (Game Results) With the Cat’s 79-76 win over St. John's, we congratulate five VUHoops readers who took medals in this round. Gold Medal: Dom (78-76), earning 5.0 points; Silver Medals: Bill ’77 (80-78), and marty1029 (82-76), earning 3.0 points each; Bronze Medals: schitzengigles10 (79-72) and Loser Cruiser (81-74), earning 1.0 point each. Our updated leader board is provided below.

VUHoops vs. Vegas: Based on the average predicted scores of the VUHoops Crowd and the posted Vegas line, we would have had a DOUBLE-WIN by picking ‘Nova to beat the -2.5 point spread (WIN) and betting the Over (WIN). The details follow. With the double-win, we are now +$100 for the season.

VU Hoops Vegas Bet Actual Result
Spread ‘Nova -9 ‘Nova -2.5 ‘Nova -2.5 ‘Nova by 3 WIN
Over 145 141.5 Over 155 WIN

Leader Board

Reader Points
Clarkkell 14.0
Scott0220 10.0
Dom 9.5
TK87 9.5
schitzengigles10 8.5
Bill '62 8.0
NovaCat94 6.5
Loser Cruiser 5.5
barry class of 57 5.0
FruitLoops 5.0
Kait'08 5.0
BZ34 4.5
DP5 4.5
Bill'77 4.0
Stevie V 3.5
FLM'33 3.0
marty1029 3.0
Old School 3.0
Pretty Toney 3.0
Robertrise 3.0
Southoftheborder 3.0
Beardog 2.5
Bstep011 2.5
chuck st.petersburg 2.5
Nervous Nelly 2.5
novamsu 2.5
Steph 2.5
Jimmy 2.0
JDW71 1.5
JMac726 1.5
Johnnyb1 1.5
Rick19 1.5
stats 1.5
TimW 1.5
bhank 1.0
Jim89 1.0
NovaFlyer 1.0
StatsManOne 1.0
Top Gere 1.0
Jimdribble 0.5
jtc123 0.5

Update: January 21 (Game Time) A total of 52 VUHoops readers posted predictions, with 6 (12%) picking the Johnnies to win. As a group, the readers see ‘Nova winning by a score of 79-68 (a margin of 9.0 points and implied over/under of 145.0). The Vegas odds makers pick ‘Nova to win by 2.5 and set the over/under at 141.5 points, implying a final score of 72-70.

Scatter Plot of Predicted Scores

Window Opening (Thursday, January 19, 8:30 PM)The window is now open for readers to post their predicted final scores for ‘Nova’s game at St. John’s on Saturday at Madison Square Garden (1:00PM, ESPNU) in our Closest to the Pin Contest. Clarkkell remains in first place with 14.0 points. Click here to see our updated leader board.

Villanova (9-10, 2-5) is unranked in the AP and ESPN/USA Today Coaches Polls but is ranked #71 by The Cats have a RPI of 91, a SOS of 3, and score an average of 73.3 PPG while giving up an average of 70.4 PPG.

St. John’s (8-10, 2-5) is unranked in the AP and ESPN/USA Today Coaches Polls but is ranked #171 by The Red Storm have an RPI of 148, a SOS of 58, and are scoring an average of 65.1 PPG while giving up an average of 67.3 PPG. Their wins and losses break down as follows:

Opponent RPI AP H/A St. John's Opponent
William & Mary 306 - Home 74 59
Lehigh 128 - Home 78 73
Maryland- Baltimore 328 - Home 82 59
Saint Francis NY 247 - Home 63 48
Fordham 209 - Home 56 50
Texas Pan American 309 - Home 66 61
Providence 107 - Home 91 67
Cincinnati 89 - Away 57 55
Arizona 67 15 Away 72 81
Texas A&M 188 19 Away 57 58
Northeastern 155 - Home 64 78
Kentucky 11 1 Away 59 81
Detroit 214 - Away 63 69
Connecticut 7 9 Away 69 83
Louisville 45 11 Home 58 73
Marquette 13 25 Away 64 83
Georgetown 15 11 Home 49 69
South Florida 97 - Away 49 64

Be sure to check out Brian’s game preview on Friday.

When posting predictions, please:

  • Use a consistent handle / ID so that we can keep an accurate running leader board over the course of the season. Obviously, score predictions posted by anonymous readers cannot be accepted.
  • List your predicted score for Villanova first, followed by the score for the opponent (e.g., Cats 100, Red Storm 75)
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