Closest to the Pin Round 13:  Louisville

Update: January 25 (Game Results) ... With the Cat’s 74-84 loss Louisville, we congratulate five VUHoops readers who took medals in this round. Gold Medals: Bri’13 (72-80), BZ34 (72-80), and jtc123 (72-80), earning 5.0 points each; Silver Medal: regred (70-81), earning 3.0 points; Bronze Medal: Two in the Pinkston (70-78), earning 1.0 point. Our updated leader board is provided below.

VUHoops vs. Vegas: Based on the average predicted scores of the VUHoops Crowd and the posted Vegas line, we would have had a PUSH by picking ‘Nova +9.5 points (LOSS) and betting the Over (WIN). The details follow. With the push, we remain +$100 for the season.

VU Hoops Vegas Bet Actual Result
Spread ‘Nova +2.0 ‘Nova +9.5 ‘Nova +9.5 Louisville by 10 LOSS
Over 144 141.5 Over 158 WIN

Leader Board

Reader Points
Clarkkell 14.0
Scott0220 10.0
BZ34 9.5
Dom 9.5
TK87 9.5
schitzengigles10 8.5
Bill '62 8.0
NovaCat94 6.5
jtc123 5.5
Loser Cruiser 5.5
barry class of 57 5.0
Bri'13 5.0
FruitLoops 5.0
Kait'08 5.0
DP5 4.5
Bill'77 4.0
Stevie V 3.5
FLM'33 3.0
marty1029 3.0
Old School 3.0
Pretty Toney 3.0
regred 3.0
Robertrise 3.0
Southoftheborder 3.0
Beardog 2.5
Bstep011 2.5
chuck st.petersburg 2.5
Nervous Nelly 2.5
novamsu 2.5
Steph 2.5
Jimmy 2.0
JDW71 1.5
JMac726 1.5
Johnnyb1 1.5
Rick19 1.5
stats 1.5
TimW 1.5
bhank 1.0
Jim89 1.0
NovaFlyer 1.0
StatsManOne 1.0
Top Gere 1.0
Two in the Pinkston 1.0
Jimdribble 0.5

Update: January 25 (Game Time) A total of 53 VUHoops readers posted predictions, with 34 (64%) picking the Cardinals to win. As a group, the readers see ‘Nova losing by a score of 70-72 (a margin of 2.0 points and an implied over/under of 144.0). The Vegas odds makers pick Louisville to win by 9.5 and set the over/under at 141.5 points, implying a final score of 66-76.

Scatter Plot of Predicted Scores


Window Opening (January 23, 8:30 PM)The window is now open for readers to post their predicted final scores for ‘Nova’s game at Louisville on Wednesday (7:00PM, ESPN) in our Closest to the Pin Contest. Clarkkell remains in first place with 14.0 points. Click here to see our updated leader board.

Villanova (10-10, 3-5) is unranked in the AP and ESPN/USA Today Coaches Polls but is ranked #75 by Kenpom.com. The Cats have a RPI of 72, a SOS of 4, and score an average of 73.5 PPG while giving up an average of 70.7 PPG.

Louisville (15-5, 3-4) is ranked #23 by AP and #41 by Kenpom.com. The Cardinals have an RPI of 40, a SOS of 50, and are scoring an average of 70.8 PPG while giving up an average of 61.6 PPG. Their wins and losses break down as follows:

Opponent RPI AP H/A Louisville Opponent
WINS
Tennessee Martin 301 - Home 83 48
Lamar 102 - Home 68 48
Butler 108 - Away 69 53
Arkansas State 197 - Home 54 27
Ohio 77 - Home 59 54
Long Beach State 41 - Home 79 66
Vanderbilt 30 20 Home 62 60
IUPUI 256 - Home 90 60
Farleigh Dickenson 338 - Home 80 58
Memphis 26 - Home 95 87
College of Charlston 104 - Home 69 62
Western Kentucky 275 - Home 70 60
St. John's 160 - Away 73 58
DePaul 165 - Home 76 59
Pittsburgh 99 - Away 73 62
LOSSES
Georgetown 13 12 Home 68 71
Kentucky 6 3 Away 62 69
Notre Dame 97 - Home 65 67
Providence 123 - Away 59 90
Marquette 12 25 Away 63 74

Be sure to check out Brian’s game preview on Friday.

When posting predictions, please:

  • Use a consistent handle / ID so that we can keep an accurate running leader board over the course of the season. Obviously, score predictions posted by anonymous readers cannot be accepted.
  • List your predicted score for Villanova first, followed by the score for the opponent (e.g., Cats 100, Cardinals 75)
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