FanPost

The JVP Offensive, and Other Notes from Updated Lineup Analysis

Brian Spurlock-USA TODAY Sports

Ryan Arcidiacono’s shot sums it up perfectly...

When the immortal .GIF of this 3 started making the rounds before the Syracuse game, all that caught my eye was JayVaughn Pinkston. Sitting out behind the 3 point line, he raises his hands for the ball not once, but twice – I’m open! I’m open! Then, when Arch sinks the 3, he raises his arms half a beat late, as if surprised something good happened when he didn’t touch the ball.

While this interpretation is obviously colored by my own opinion of JVP (you can see Hilliard doing pretty much the exact same thing in the shot), it essentially sums up what is both great and incredibly frustrating about watching him play offense.

JVP has elite individual offensive talent – there’s not much to debate there. An undersized power forward with a limited jump shot, he still manages to take more than 60% of his shots at the rim, converting an elite percentage of them (63.3%) often over/around/through larger defenders. He attempts close to 75 free throws for every 100 shots he takes, drawing over seven fouls per 40 minutes. These are legitimately elite numbers, ranking in the top 100 and top 50, respectively, among all D-I players in the nation.

Though the Syracuse game torched his offensive rating (he was good for an ORtg of 34 points/100 possessions in his 25 minutes…yikes), he still sits at an efficiency of 114.3 points / 100 possessions, per KenPom. These efficiency numbers are on an individual basis – for the possessions specifically used by JayVaughn, an average of 1.143 points, or 114.3/100 possessions, will be scored.

Prior to the disastrous ‘Cuse game, and a subpar LaSalle game, his rating/100 sat well over 120 points/100. This did rank among the nation’s top efficiency rankings for his usage percentage (currently at 26.4%) – as of now, he’s just outside the top 100 for players using 24% of possessions or more – and currently has the 2nd highest individual ORtg on the team (behind the (money)ballin’ Josh Hart).

He gets to the rim and the line at elite rates, both skills in short supply on Villanova’s current roster, and helps round out an offense filled with perimeter players (and Daniel Ochefu). He’s a very efficient offensive player, despite his struggles against some of the top level teams Villanova’s seen this year, even with a high usage rate. Why, then, does the team play offense better without him?

This question will start the updated and fleshed out lineup analysis, very similar to an earlier FanPost, with the newest games added, and data from 2-, 3-, and 4-man lineups included.

Please see the introduction of that earlier post for the methodology behind the analysis, and explanation of many of the stats referenced in the tables and the article. Trying to keep this one under several thousand words, but I have a snow (vacation) day and a tendency to ramble on paper.

These stats are taken from play-by-play data available from StatSheet, slightly modified to correct substitution patterns (they generally don’t note who goes in/out at halftime). The Lafayette game was not included, as I couldn’t ‘fix’ the substitution patterns. Whoever took down the play-by-play data wasn’t feeling it that day.

The 9 players who have seen actual rotation minutes - Ryan Arcidiacono, Darrun Hilliard, James Bell, JayVaughn Pinkston, Daniel Ochefu, Josh Hart, Tony Chennault, Dylan Ennis, and Kris Jenkins – and all combinations of them – are in this analysis.

A note from the previous article – ‘Remember – these statistics do not indicate how well the individual player (or group of players) does statistically, but how well the team plays around him/them while he’s/they're in the lineup. Obviously, the player’s stats are included if he’s in the game, [this is] the overall picture of how well the team plays with (or without) a certain player, or group of players.’

We’ll start with 1-man lineups – or how well the team plays when each of the 9 players is in the game. Shooting tables, defense, and the Four Factor/tempo-independent analysis of each lineup will be provided.

Shooting

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Rank Players MIN PTS Shots 2PJ Shots @ Rim FG% 2P% 3P% of Shots 3PT eFG% TS% FTR AST % A/T Ort
1 Ryan Arcidiacono 363.87 709 16.95% 36.95% 44.00% 54.42% 31.82% 46.10% 51.33% 55.27% 22.76% 63.64% 1.29 1.07
2 Darrun Hilliard 337.00 681 18.26% 39.42% 47.72% 57.55% 34.31% 42.32% 54.98% 58.29% 21.68% 59.57% 1.14 1.10
3 James Bell 356.63 715 16.17% 39.72% 46.11% 54.64% 35.29% 44.11% 53.89% 58.22% 24.11% 61.47% 1.18 1.12
4 Jayvaughn Pinkston 308.07 592 18.01% 38.80% 42.96% 50.41% 33.16% 43.19% 50.12% 55.31% 24.94% 62.90% 1.10 1.06
5 Daniel Ochefu 214.60 420 19.94% 36.71% 44.62% 53.07% 33.58% 43.35% 51.90% 55.38% 20.56% 65.25% 1.26 1.09
6 Josh Hart 267.25 541 17.33% 37.33% 43.73% 53.17% 32.35% 45.33% 51.07% 56.47% 28.76% 63.41% 1.33 1.12
7 Tony Chennault 197.77 394 20.45% 41.67% 47.73% 52.44% 40.00% 37.88% 55.30% 60.13% 26.77% 60.32% 1.31 1.16
8 Dylan Ennis 174.35 364 16.48% 31.46% 40.45% 49.22% 32.37% 52.06% 48.88% 55.04% 27.11% 69.44% 1.39 1.09
9 Kris Jenkins 162.92 336 18.22% 31.56% 44.00% 51.79% 36.28% 50.22% 53.11% 58.49% 30.16% 64.65% 1.64 1.18

Defense

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Rank Players Minutes STL% BLK% OR% DR% DRt %SHOTS 2PJ SHOTS @ RIM SHOTS 3PT 3P% Opp eFG% Opp FTR Opp TO%
1 Ryan Arcidiacono 363.87 11.56% 9.05% 32.20% 75.78% 0.89 26.96% 41.45% 31.59% 37.58% 45.98% 44.27% 22.24%
2 Darrun Hilliard 337.00 10.84% 9.11% 32.82% 75.17% 0.85 25.26% 42.86% 31.88% 31.82% 42.75% 36.23% 21.46%
3 James Bell 356.63 11.77% 8.96% 35.19% 73.29% 0.85 25.10% 41.43% 33.47% 30.95% 43.82% 36.06% 22.96%
4 Jayvaughn Pinkston 308.07 12.05% 8.69% 33.06% 75.40% 0.86 25.12% 42.49% 32.39% 34.78% 45.54% 31.92% 23.23%
5 Daniel Ochefu 214.60 12.88% 9.18% 37.71% 75.15% 0.88 27.21% 42.62% 30.16% 34.78% 45.90% 41.31% 21.99%
6 Josh Hart 267.25 11.49% 9.59% 33.95% 68.14% 0.91 24.09% 43.78% 32.12% 30.65% 45.34% 40.16% 22.10%
7 Tony Chennault 197.77 11.11% 8.00% 32.64% 72.67% 0.86 24.00% 39.27% 36.73% 28.71% 42.00% 41.09% 21.25%
8 Dylan Ennis 174.35 11.39% 8.47% 33.33% 72.12% 0.89 28.63% 43.95% 27.42% 32.35% 41.94% 50.81% 20.62%
9 Kris Jenkins 162.92 9.93% 11.16% 33.33% 68.46% 0.91 24.03% 37.77% 38.20% 24.72% 40.77% 57.94% 19.09%

Four Factor

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Rank Players Minutes eFG % TO % OR % FTR O Rtg D Rtg Differential
1 Ryan Arcidiacono 363.87 51.33% 17.78% 32.20% 46.67% 1.07 0.89 0.18
2 Darrun Hilliard 337.00 54.98% 19.87% 32.82% 44.61% 1.10 0.85 0.25
3 James Bell 356.63 53.89% 19.26% 35.19% 47.50% 1.12 0.85 0.27
4 Jayvaughn Pinkston 308.07 50.12% 19.63% 33.06% 49.65% 1.06 0.86 0.20
5 Daniel Ochefu 214.60 51.90% 18.77% 37.71% 42.09% 1.09 0.88 0.20
6 Josh Hart 267.25 51.07% 17.18% 33.95% 58.40% 1.12 0.91 0.21
7 Tony Chennault 197.77 55.30% 17.74% 32.64% 50.76% 1.16 0.86 0.31
8 Dylan Ennis 174.35 48.88% 16.72% 33.33% 50.19% 1.09 0.89 0.20
9 Kris Jenkins 162.92 53.11% 14.44% 33.33% 58.22% 1.18 0.91 0.27

Finally, back to the JVP discussion. When the team's 2nd most effective individual offensive player steps onto the floor, the team scores at its least efficient level, when the same exercise is applied to the rest of the players - 106 points per 100 possessions. This shouldn't be happening.

There are several reasons that are easy to point to. For all the talk I seem to hear about JVP's ability to make the extra pass, he doesn't seem very willing. So far this year, he has more 3 point attempts (23) than assists (19). He's currently shooting 22% from 3. In an article written by Jordan Sperber, recently posted on VUhoops, the author noted that JVP has kicked the ball out from an inside position for 3 pointers just 5 times. A wing/post player who commands the type of attention on the inside JVP does need to pass out more, especially when he's surrounded by 3 or 4 willing and kind-of-able deep shooters.

His game interrupts the flow of the offense at times - the A/T ratio when JVP is in the game is barely above 1, again the lowest on the team. When he gets the ball anywhere near position, he likes to shoot it - or turn it over trying. While I still believe the close-in attempts, foul trouble (for the other guys), and free throws he generates are vital to the team's offense, I urge you not to see his individual numbers in a vacuum, because they don't happen there. There's perhaps no team game more affected by the unselfishness, and vice versa, of its players than basketball. When, and if, JVP subverts his brilliant individual talent to operate more in the confines of the team's structure on offense, he could become one of the best offensive players in college basketball. A JVP who balances his skills on the inside with an awareness of the shooters (and team) around him, especially in a game where his shots aren't falling, would be a gamechanger.

Of course, the biggest obstacle to evolutionary JVP is his lack, or ignorance, of basketball IQ - not something I'm optimistic, after watching him be more or less the same player for the last 3 years, he will overcome. Too often, he forces shots, takes 3s, and looks for his before he looks for his teammates - which is especially damaging in games where he can't overpower the front line (he generally doesn't adapt). And when he does look for his teammates, it always seems to be a too-flashy, dangerous pass that ends up deflected or intercepted.

Who knows, maybe this is what Jay is asking him to do. As I mentioned, he fills a huge need for this team on the inside, and there's really no one else on the roster who could do it. None of us are privy to what Jay tells these kids, or thinks of them. But I believe he could be a truly special player if he strove for more - even more so after he's so clearly stepped up his effort level on the defensive end. While there are still lapses in concentration, bad switches, and ball-watching, especially when he's asked to guard on the perimeter, he has gamely stepped up on the defensive end to fill in at center when Ochefu's out of the game. His effort and intensity on the defensive end have gone up each year he's been here, which is the kind of the progression you want to see. It's likely he'll never be a plus defender, but breaking even on that end, with what he can bring to the other side, is more than enough. Challenge yourself, JVP. We all know what comes easily to you. Do the hard stuff.

Quick Notes

With more data, some of the outliers praised in the earlier post have started to come back down to earth. No player holds a 'lineup' O Rtg of over 120 (there were 2 or 3 the first time around), offensive rebounding numbers have started to come down for some wings, and the defense isn't quite as good as it was. But, with that in mind, let's do some one-hitters.

  • Chennault still has the highest offensive rating and lowest defensive rating of the 3 point guards, and holds the best differential on the team - his lineups outscore the opposition by 31 points / 100 possessions while he's in there. Because of this, because he's a senior, and because his lineups take the highest percentage of their shots at the rim (41.67%) of ANY player and hit 40% of their 3 point attempts, I really want him to start seeing more than 15 minutes a game. He's earned it (what's an extra 5 minutes a game going to hurt?), and the offense just seems to click better when he's in there. His lineups also sport the highest eFG%.
  • Jenkins' lineups are still killing it on offense - and getting killed on defense. Still, let's mention him and get some fire started if Jay starts stripping down the rotation again and Jenkins is left out in the cold. He's been an excellent offensive catalyst for this team, and will be a key cog in years to come. Save 10-15 minutes for him, Jay, not only for his development, but to make sure the rest of the team doesn't get worn out by the (admittedly approximately 722% physically softer) Big East sked. Also, his lineups have a FTR of 58.22% - possibly skewed by late game fouling, but it deserves investigation - i.e. keep playing him.
  • Hilliard and Bell are showcasing their defensive importance, sporting (almost) matching defensive ratings - though the team is generally clustered with 0.07 points of each other on that end. SAMPLE SIZE ME. As starters generally facing the other team's best players, their lineups are holding teams 2-3 percentage points lower (eFG%) than the other starters. Their length for their positions can really bother perimeter players, and both are effortless switchers.
  • Offensive rebounding has gone down across the board. Think it's something the team still has in the deck (legitimately good offensive rebounding numbers with one actual big man who usually plays just more than half the game), but not something we'll see in every game this year. Takes too much effort. Ochefu has reasserted his importance on that end, with his lineups snagging 37.71% of all offensive rebounds, tops on the team.
  • But, he still hasn't asserted himself on the defensive end. His defensive rating is the worst of the starters (except Arch), and his lineups allow the 4th highest percentage of shots at the rim. With that said, his recent play, on both ends, has been encouraging (Syracuse obviously excluded), and here's hoping it continues to trend upward.
  • Hart's still not great at defense, which was especially evident in the Syracuse game. Those open Cooney 3s (and that damn foul) at the beginning of their comeback still haunt my dreams. Arch is especially bad, though, at least on the perimeter. In the 364 minutes he's played in the games sampled, opposing teams are shooting 37% from deep, worst on the team - also a reason for the sky-high eFG% his lineups are allowing.

Let's move on to the 2-man lineups – our first look at grouping within lineups - for each of the 36 combinations of the 9 rotation players. The combos are organized in order of descending minutes logged.

Shooting

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Rank Player 1 Player 2 MIN PTS Shots 2PJ Shots @ Rim FG% 2P% 3P% Shots 3PT eFG% TS% FTR AST % A/T Ort
1 Ryan Arcidiacono Darrun Hilliard 269.42 532 15.87% 39.29% 46.49% 56.42% 33.53% 44.84% 53.77% 57.05% 21.18% 60.89% 1.12 1.07
2 Ryan Arcidiacono James Bell 279.00 555 17.40% 39.22% 46.60% 56.62% 34.27% 43.38% 54.28% 57.74% 21.74% 61.62% 1.19 1.10
3 Ryan Arcidiacono Jayvaughn Pinkston 247.18 453 19.17% 35.71% 42.07% 49.48% 32.68% 45.11% 49.28% 53.67% 22.27% 66.44% 1.18 1.03
4 Ryan Arcidiacono Daniel Ochefu 179.32 346 12.87% 29.24% 43.23% 51.37% 33.33% 57.89% 50.75% 54.20% 20.31% 66.09% 1.29 1.06
5 Ryan Arcidiacono Josh Hart 171.47 335 17.49% 40.16% 42.39% 56.35% 27.35% 42.35% 48.97% 53.87% 27.41% 65.05% 1.40 1.07
6 Ryan Arcidiacono Tony Chennault 96.60 173 15.28% 31.25% 47.58% 56.96% 31.11% 53.47% 53.23% 57.08% 24.19% 59.32% 1.75 1.13
7 Ryan Arcidiacono Dylan Ennis 108.47 215 12.28% 34.21% 38.01% 52.78% 27.27% 53.51% 45.91% 51.55% 24.60% 70.77% 1.53 1.04
8 Ryan Arcidiacono Kris Jenkins 107.45 218 20.44% 37.57% 43.21% 56.58% 31.40% 41.99% 51.54% 55.02% 23.35% 61.43% 1.87 1.15
9 Darrun Hilliard James Bell 259.67 527 17.58% 38.33% 49.18% 57.82% 37.42% 44.09% 57.10% 60.00% 20.50% 59.44% 1.09 1.12
10 Darrun Hilliard Jayvaughn Pinkston 225.70 436 19.35% 44.35% 45.54% 50.53% 38.10% 36.29% 53.18% 57.08% 22.13% 60.84% 1.04 1.06
11 Darrun Hilliard Daniel Ochefu 175.02 350 15.43% 31.48% 48.61% 58.90% 34.29% 53.09% 55.78% 58.53% 19.47% 63.11% 1.20 1.11
12 Darrun Hilliard Josh Hart 151.30 301 18.01% 38.39% 46.92% 61.34% 28.26% 43.60% 53.08% 56.66% 24.79% 56.57% 1.14 1.08
13 Darrun Hilliard Tony Chennault 112.95 227 18.58% 38.50% 50.97% 58.25% 36.54% 42.92% 57.10% 60.75% 22.78% 55.70% 1.26 1.16
14 Darrun Hilliard Dylan Ennis 79.38 174 18.89% 32.22% 45.97% 62.30% 30.16% 48.89% 53.63% 58.51% 23.44% 61.40% 1.25 1.11
15 Darrun Hilliard Kris Jenkins 75.98 161 23.64% 32.73% 50.00% 67.24% 30.77% 43.64% 57.27% 59.76% 22.45% 56.36% 1.35 1.16
16 James Bell Jayvaughn Pinkston 239.65 463 16.87% 34.98% 45.90% 53.93% 34.78% 48.15% 53.19% 57.36% 23.49% 62.91% 1.14 1.09
17 James Bell Daniel Ochefu 153.58 306 18.33% 39.84% 47.35% 55.04% 37.11% 41.83% 55.31% 58.06% 17.51% 64.49% 1.17 1.13
18 James Bell Josh Hart 170.17 349 19.43% 40.45% 44.44% 54.03% 33.64% 40.13% 52.35% 57.98% 30.05% 62.50% 1.30 1.14
19 James Bell Tony Chennault 119.12 244 19.09% 33.64% 49.68% 54.17% 42.37% 47.27% 57.74% 63.37% 28.66% 55.84% 1.16 1.21
20 James Bell Dylan Ennis 109.13 213 13.33% 37.58% 40.00% 52.38% 27.16% 49.09% 46.67% 52.83% 25.44% 65.15% 1.30 1.07
21 James Bell Kris Jenkins 83.67 171 23.97% 31.40% 42.98% 49.06% 37.70% 44.63% 53.07% 59.02% 30.19% 61.22% 1.30 1.16
22 Jayvaughn Pinkston Daniel Ochefu 123.68 232 16.13% 33.06% 44.20% 49.52% 36.84% 50.81% 51.93% 54.87% 17.31% 65.00% 1.16 1.07
23 Jayvaughn Pinkston Josh Hart 137.80 264 21.29% 45.16% 40.63% 51.89% 26.74% 33.55% 46.61% 53.42% 29.01% 61.54% 0.96 1.01
24 Jayvaughn Pinkston Tony Chennault 112.20 222 14.10% 38.89% 46.00% 51.55% 35.85% 47.01% 52.33% 59.19% 29.85% 55.07% 1.15 1.15
25 Jayvaughn Pinkston Dylan Ennis 98.50 193 21.33% 43.33% 36.11% 44.78% 28.57% 35.33% 43.75% 52.20% 31.63% 65.38% 1.13 1.03
26 Jayvaughn Pinkston Kris Jenkins 50.48 97 21.82% 35.45% 33.33% 41.18% 26.32% 42.73% 40.28% 51.16% 36.07% 66.67% 1.07 1.06
27 Daniel Ochefu Josh Hart 81.70 157 22.67% 40.00% 40.50% 55.22% 22.22% 37.33% 45.45% 51.21% 27.18% 65.31% 1.45 1.07
28 Daniel Ochefu Tony Chennault 56.12 91 21.78% 35.64% 38.67% 42.55% 32.14% 42.57% 44.67% 49.40% 22.46% 65.52% 1.19 1.01
29 Daniel Ochefu Dylan Ennis 56.35 123 19.87% 32.45% 43.33% 54.35% 31.82% 47.68% 51.11% 56.42% 24.11% 71.79% 1.33 1.11
30 Daniel Ochefu Kris Jenkins 37.43 77 18.63% 18.63% 41.82% 45.16% 37.50% 62.75% 50.00% 54.11% 29.35% 65.22% 3.00 1.15
31 Josh Hart Tony Chennault 114.62 241 17.33% 40.73% 49.68% 53.13% 44.26% 41.95% 58.28% 61.95% 25.69% 64.10% 1.47 1.22
32 Josh Hart Dylan Ennis 102.53 221 14.58% 40.63% 40.25% 45.00% 35.44% 44.79% 49.06% 55.56% 28.77% 71.88% 1.53 1.13
33 Josh Hart Kris Jenkins 112.05 241 18.06% 43.87% 45.70% 49.37% 41.67% 38.06% 55.63% 60.85% 33.71% 66.67% 2.09 1.27
34 Tony Chennault Dylan Ennis 73.03 151 18.47% 42.68% 42.57% 39.66% 46.51% 38.85% 52.48% 59.17% 29.68% 67.44% 1.12 1.11
35 Tony Chennault Kris Jenkins 87.28 182 19.44% 27.78% 50.91% 55.56% 44.68% 52.78% 60.45% 64.16% 29.97% 69.64% 1.63 1.21
36 Dylan Ennis Kris Jenkins 62.95 149 16.98% 33.33% 40.20% 44.74% 37.50% 49.69% 51.96% 58.15% 30.45% 75.61% 2.07 1.21

Defense

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Rank Player 1 Player 2 Minutes STL% BLK% OR% DR% DRt Shots 2PJ Shots @ Rim 3P % Shots 3PT Opp eFG% Opp FTR Opp TO%
1 Ryan Arcidiacono Darrun Hilliard 269.42 11.20% 9.79% 31.13% 76.99% 0.85 26.30% 41.93% 34.48% 31.77% 43.65% 39.32% 22.19%
2 Ryan Arcidiacono James Bell 279.00 11.04% 8.85% 33.97% 77.06% 0.88 25.93% 43.39% 36.07% 30.69% 45.57% 39.15% 21.93%
3 Ryan Arcidiacono Jayvaughn Pinkston 247.18 12.47% 8.43% 31.50% 74.87% 0.88 28.00% 42.80% 37.96% 29.20% 47.44% 44.40% 24.40%
4 Ryan Arcidiacono Daniel Ochefu 179.32 13.11% 10.00% 35.33% 76.43% 0.87 30.77% 42.66% 36.99% 26.57% 45.00% 62.94% 22.43%
5 Ryan Arcidiacono Josh Hart 171.47 11.94% 8.09% 31.94% 71.09% 0.96 25.48% 41.92% 43.66% 32.60% 50.85% 34.25% 23.19%
6 Ryan Arcidiacono Tony Chennault 96.60 11.95% 6.78% 27.14% 77.46% 0.86 26.24% 48.94% 38.30% 24.82% 45.76% 34.04% 24.31%
7 Ryan Arcidiacono Dylan Ennis 108.47 10.38% 11.19% 30.39% 77.08% 0.90 18.97% 38.79% 39.47% 42.24% 41.61% 47.41% 19.63%
8 Ryan Arcidiacono Kris Jenkins 107.45 9.44% 9.15% 34.83% 75.29% 1.00 23.84% 40.70% 39.58% 35.47% 48.24% 30.23% 18.28%
9 Darrun Hilliard James Bell 259.67 11.21% 8.49% 35.83% 76.06% 0.83 25.00% 42.47% 31.93% 32.53% 43.01% 33.43% 22.44%
10 Darrun Hilliard Jayvaughn Pinkston 225.70 11.30% 8.01% 31.43% 74.87% 0.85 27.97% 32.20% 34.31% 39.83% 44.71% 45.76% 23.48%
11 Darrun Hilliard Daniel Ochefu 175.02 12.20% 9.41% 35.88% 77.24% 0.85 28.17% 38.03% 30.77% 33.80% 43.92% 72.54% 21.49%
12 Darrun Hilliard Josh Hart 151.30 10.60% 9.87% 29.75% 71.54% 0.86 23.32% 46.19% 29.41% 30.49% 43.95% 34.08% 21.27%
13 Darrun Hilliard Tony Chennault 112.95 9.90% 7.64% 32.91% 71.43% 0.80 26.70% 42.08% 31.67% 31.22% 40.45% 38.46% 23.20%
14 Darrun Hilliard Dylan Ennis 79.38 9.93% 8.62% 29.85% 77.38% 0.81 32.50% 42.50% 30.00% 25.00% 35.78% 60.00% 16.99%
15 Darrun Hilliard Kris Jenkins 75.98 7.46% 11.50% 33.33% 74.29% 0.91 26.92% 44.23% 27.03% 28.85% 38.94% 71.15% 14.21%
16 James Bell Jayvaughn Pinkston 239.65 12.38% 8.00% 33.15% 75.68% 0.86 28.51% 41.28% 35.45% 30.21% 46.00% 45.11% 23.79%
17 James Bell Daniel Ochefu 153.58 12.98% 8.14% 44.74% 74.59% 0.87 26.67% 42.75% 31.88% 30.59% 45.25% 36.86% 21.74%
18 James Bell Josh Hart 170.17 12.27% 9.64% 33.83% 68.53% 0.84 24.36% 42.95% 27.85% 32.69% 43.78% 30.13% 24.14%
19 James Bell Tony Chennault 119.12 11.65% 7.64% 33.73% 75.00% 0.84 24.78% 42.48% 29.82% 32.74% 44.27% 59.29% 23.54%
20 James Bell Dylan Ennis 109.13 11.56% 7.74% 36.08% 74.49% 0.84 29.68% 41.94% 34.09% 28.39% 40.97% 43.23% 21.38%
21 James Bell Kris Jenkins 83.67 10.60% 12.93% 32.79% 66.22% 0.82 26.36% 46.36% 20.41% 27.27% 37.93% 46.36% 23.01%
22 Jayvaughn Pinkston Daniel Ochefu 123.68 12.50% 7.56% 40.21% 75.00% 0.87 31.03% 43.10% 37.70% 25.86% 46.80% 45.69% 23.14%
23 Jayvaughn Pinkston Josh Hart 137.80 12.16% 11.11% 31.09% 75.00% 0.82 23.57% 38.22% 29.82% 38.22% 44.70% 26.75% 22.61%
24 Jayvaughn Pinkston Tony Chennault 112.20 11.92% 8.22% 33.33% 78.57% 0.85 24.50% 43.78% 35.29% 31.73% 46.58% 32.13% 23.93%
25 Jayvaughn Pinkston Dylan Ennis 98.50 11.17% 7.80% 30.34% 75.00% 0.88 26.03% 39.04% 40.00% 34.93% 44.68% 30.82% 21.13%
26 Jayvaughn Pinkston Kris Jenkins 50.48 13.79% 11.76% 40.91% 75.61% 0.86 21.09% 33.59% 21.74% 45.31% 41.91% 52.34% 20.71%
27 Daniel Ochefu Josh Hart 81.70 13.51% 6.36% 37.33% 69.09% 0.97 30.86% 41.98% 43.33% 27.16% 53.18% 33.33% 24.48%
28 Daniel Ochefu Tony Chennault 56.12 13.33% 9.88% 36.73% 70.45% 0.90 24.30% 45.79% 36.36% 29.91% 48.15% 50.47% 22.90%
29 Daniel Ochefu Dylan Ennis 56.35 14.56% 11.25% 36.54% 73.91% 0.91 24.07% 35.80% 30.00% 40.12% 42.50% 53.70% 20.21%
30 Daniel Ochefu Kris Jenkins 37.43 12.12% 17.31% 27.27% 78.57% 0.94 29.55% 38.64% 33.33% 31.82% 47.12% 68.18% 18.05%
31 Josh Hart Tony Chennault 114.62 10.89% 9.64% 37.80% 68.22% 0.90 25.54% 40.62% 22.41% 33.85% 39.46% 32.31% 17.76%
32 Josh Hart Dylan Ennis 102.53 12.43% 6.29% 39.08% 65.91% 0.98 24.75% 46.46% 40.00% 28.79% 48.95% 27.78% 22.48%
33 Josh Hart Kris Jenkins 112.05 8.91% 11.11% 37.97% 61.86% 1.00 24.84% 38.85% 27.69% 36.31% 43.83% 33.76% 19.39%
34 Tony Chennault Dylan Ennis 73.03 13.57% 5.61% 29.82% 66.67% 0.92 21.08% 43.98% 21.88% 34.94% 43.46% 43.98% 23.30%
35 Tony Chennault Kris Jenkins 87.28 10.32% 8.59% 28.07% 72.73% 0.80 29.41% 36.76% 20.69% 33.82% 33.59% 45.59% 16.58%
36 Dylan Ennis Kris Jenkins 62.95 10.71% 9.09% 37.04% 63.77% 0.91 27.27% 48.25% 21.43% 24.48% 37.50% 46.85% 20.78%

Four Factors

Rank Player 1 Player 2 Minutes eFG % TO % OR % FTR O Rtg D Rtg Differential
1 Ryan Arcidiacono Darrun Hilliard 269.42 53.77% 20.04% 31.13% 44.42% 1.07 0.85 0.22
2 Ryan Arcidiacono James Bell 279.00 54.28% 19.39% 33.97% 44.33% 1.10 0.88 0.22
3 Ryan Arcidiacono Jayvaughn Pinkston 247.18 49.28% 19.07% 31.50% 45.53% 1.03 0.88 0.15
4 Ryan Arcidiacono Daniel Ochefu 179.32 50.75% 18.15% 35.33% 42.11% 1.06 0.87 0.20
5 Ryan Arcidiacono Josh Hart 171.47 48.97% 16.44% 31.94% 58.85% 1.07 0.96 0.11
6 Ryan Arcidiacono Tony Chennault 96.60 53.23% 13.79% 27.14% 46.77% 1.13 0.86 0.27
7 Ryan Arcidiacono Dylan Ennis 108.47 45.91% 14.93% 30.39% 46.20% 1.04 0.90 0.14
8 Ryan Arcidiacono Kris Jenkins 107.45 51.54% 12.37% 34.83% 46.91% 1.15 1.00 0.15
9 Darrun Hilliard James Bell 259.67 57.10% 21.03% 35.83% 42.08% 1.12 0.83 0.29
10 Darrun Hilliard Jayvaughn Pinkston 225.70 53.18% 21.05% 31.43% 45.54% 1.06 0.85 0.21
11 Darrun Hilliard Daniel Ochefu 175.02 55.78% 20.32% 35.88% 40.24% 1.11 0.85 0.25
12 Darrun Hilliard Josh Hart 151.30 53.08% 18.77% 29.75% 54.50% 1.08 0.86 0.22
13 Darrun Hilliard Tony Chennault 112.95 57.10% 18.32% 32.91% 43.23% 1.16 0.80 0.35
14 Darrun Hilliard Dylan Ennis 79.38 53.63% 18.42% 29.85% 41.94% 1.11 0.81 0.30
15 Darrun Hilliard Kris Jenkins 75.98 57.27% 17.16% 33.33% 47.27% 1.16 0.91 0.25
16 James Bell Jayvaughn Pinkston 239.65 53.19% 20.10% 33.15% 47.72% 1.09 0.86 0.23
17 James Bell Daniel Ochefu 153.58 55.31% 20.70% 44.74% 34.96% 1.13 0.87 0.25
18 James Bell Josh Hart 170.17 52.35% 17.54% 33.83% 60.26% 1.14 0.84 0.30
19 James Bell Tony Chennault 119.12 57.74% 19.17% 33.73% 50.97% 1.21 0.84 0.37
20 James Bell Dylan Ennis 109.13 46.67% 16.67% 36.08% 46.67% 1.07 0.84 0.23
21 James Bell Kris Jenkins 83.67 53.07% 16.67% 32.79% 57.02% 1.16 0.82 0.33
22 Jayvaughn Pinkston Daniel Ochefu 123.68 51.93% 19.91% 40.21% 35.36% 1.07 0.87 0.19
23 Jayvaughn Pinkston Josh Hart 137.80 46.61% 20.66% 31.09% 60.42% 1.01 0.82 0.19
24 Jayvaughn Pinkston Tony Chennault 112.20 52.33% 17.93% 33.33% 52.67% 1.15 0.85 0.31
25 Jayvaughn Pinkston Dylan Ennis 98.50 43.75% 17.24% 30.34% 59.72% 1.03 0.88 0.14
26 Jayvaughn Pinkston Kris Jenkins 50.48 40.28% 17.24% 40.91% 66.67% 1.06 0.86 0.20
27 Daniel Ochefu Josh Hart 81.70 45.45% 15.38% 37.33% 56.20% 1.07 0.97 0.09
28 Daniel Ochefu Tony Chennault 56.12 44.67% 17.58% 36.73% 48.00% 1.01 0.90 0.11
29 Daniel Ochefu Dylan Ennis 56.35 51.11% 18.92% 36.54% 44.44% 1.11 0.91 0.19
30 Daniel Ochefu Kris Jenkins 37.43 50.00% 8.33% 27.27% 61.82% 1.15 0.94 0.21
31 Josh Hart Tony Chennault 114.62 58.28% 17.80% 37.80% 50.32% 1.22 0.90 0.32
32 Josh Hart Dylan Ennis 102.53 49.06% 15.87% 39.08% 52.83% 1.13 0.98 0.15
33 Josh Hart Kris Jenkins 112.05 55.63% 12.64% 37.97% 65.56% 1.27 1.00 0.27
34 Tony Chennault Dylan Ennis 73.03 52.48% 20.47% 29.82% 55.45% 1.11 0.92 0.18
35 Tony Chennault Kris Jenkins 87.28 60.45% 17.39% 28.07% 60.91% 1.21 0.80 0.42
36 Dylan Ennis Kris Jenkins 62.95 51.96% 12.82% 37.04% 53.92% 1.21 0.91 0.30

Quick Notes

  • Not sure if Basketball on Paper is required freshman reading these days, but Josh Hart and Kris Jenkins appear to have taken it to hEart. The pair, in the 112 minutes they’ve logged together, appear in the top 10 of each of the Four Factors (eFG%, TO%, OR%, and FTR), and the top 5 of TO%, OR%, and FTR, in terms of the way they (and the other 3 guys around them) have played the game. They’re the top squad in terms of the Four Factors – and they’re right around the middle of the pack in minutes logged for 2-man lineups, so it’s tough to write it off as a sample size skew. They play the game the right way, in almost every way – except for that ugly 100 points/possession allowed, the highest of the 36 2-man groups. Honestly don’t care if every single one of those minutes was logged against the other team’s backups. They’re awesome.
  • James Bell and Danny Chief look like our most important offensive rebounders. In the 154 minutes they’ve played together, the team has rebounded 44.74% of all possible rebounds. Ochefu, as our only big man, and Bell, as the athletic freak he is/has become at the 3, are VITAL to the effort – Ochefu looks more important, though. Every group he’s in appears in the top 12, other than the 37 minutes he’s logged with Jenkins. As the smallest sample of the group, that can relatively safely be ignored for now.
  • · In Ennis’s somewhat limited minutes, the lineups he’s been a part of are excellent at preventing 3 pointers – many of his groups appear at the top of the rankings, in terms of % of shots as 3 pointers, in the 2-man lineup analysis, and he was the best in the single-man group. This article by Ken Pomeroy tells us that teams have very little control over the percentage of 3 pointers a team makes – but much more over how many they ATTEMPT. So far, Dylan Ennis has been the best (in terms of lineup analysis) at helping his team avoid giving up 3 point shots – an important aspect of defense. He’s probably the most athletic of the 3 point guards, and certainly brings the intensity – it appears he’s helped greatly in chasing the other team off the line.

That’ll conclude this section of the post. There is still data from the 3-, 4-, and without 1-man lineups, but the SBNation FanPost mechanism is inching along, with all the charts/text I’ve got above this.

FanPosts only represent the opinions of the poster, not of VU Hoops.

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