I am going to show the remaining schedules, and predict what I think they need to do to be safe for a bid. I am not taking into account what happens in Big East Tournament.
I think they need to win all 3 games to be safe. Their resume is not as good as they have been playing. They are 1-5 against RPI top 50. 8 of their wins have come over teams with RPI over 150. Losses to Penn State and DePaul are both ugly. Winning out puts their RPI below 50 and probably puts them in, barring a humiliating loss in Big East Tournament.
I think they need to go 2-1. They are a riddle wrapped in an enigma. 3-4 against top RPI 50 teams. Monster non-conference wins, but horrible losses. If selecting today, I like their resume over all other Big East Bubble teams. Wins over MSU, VCU and KSU will definitely get the committees attention. They have proven they can beat, or lose to anybody. Given the flaw of most bubble teams, their terrible computer numbers probably get overlooked.
@ St. John's
@ Seton Hall
Think they need to go 3-1 over this stretch. St. John's game can almost be viewed as a play in game. They are 1-3 against RPI top 50 teams and have horrible losses against Seton Hall and USC. Win against Cincinnati is lone accomplishment.
At Seton Hall
I think they need to win out and they are still dicey, but that would mean a road win against Creighton, which would surely get the committee's attention.
Their only win over a top 50 RPI team is George Washington. They need to get ASAP, or they are NIT bound.
Barring heroics in Big East Tournament, league will be lucky to get 4 teams, and there are scenarios where they just get 2 and stack the NIT.
Computer numbers are atrocious, and will be tough for them to justify bids. Coming down the home stretch, but these teams have a lot of work to do> Villanova and Creighton are huge targets right now.