UPDATED: CAA Football Tiebreaker Scenarios announced

The following press release was issued by the CAA Football conference on Thursday, November 15, 2012.

CAA Football has announced a slight update to its automatic qualifier tiebreaker process following the Division I Football Championship Committee’s decision to allow the league to utilize Jeff Sagarin’s most up-to-date ELO_CHESS variance in determining its autobid process. The Sagarin ratings are set to be released after the conclusion of all NCAA Football games on Saturday. The Committee’s decision was reached on Thursday and communicated directly to the league office soon after.

Given that a number of the league’s autobid tiebreaker scenarios could end with the need to use the Sagarin ratings, the most current of which will become available following the conclusion of NCAA Football play on Saturday, CAA Football will institute these ratings in the process of determining its autobid if necessary.

"I would like to thank the NCAA Committee for allowing us to use the most recent data possible," said CAA Commissioner Tom Yeager. "The Committee’s decision recognizes the NCAA and CAA Football’s shared desire for a fair and accurate tiebreaker process. I would like to reiterate that no part of the tiebreaking procedures are in any way altered by the Committee’s decision, but rather its decision affords us the opportunity to utilize the most current data that reflects the entirety of the regular season."

Please see below for the full list of CAA Football’s autobid tiebreaker scenarios. Note that Jeff Sagarin’s ELO_CHESS variance in the attached document reflects game played as of Nov. 10.

* * *

CAA Football Automatic NCAA Bid Tiebreaker Scenarios

***Updated Nov. 15, 2012

Maine at Rhode Island; Towson at New Hampshire; Richmond at William and Mary; Villanova at Delaware; Old Dominion at James Madison

1. New Hampshire clinches automatic bid with a victory over Towson.

2. The 16 scenarios below will be used if New Hampshire loses to Towson.

3. CAA Football’s final tiebreaker involves the application of Jeff Sagarin’s ELO_CHESS variance. The Division I Football Championship Committee will allow CAA Football the time necessary to determine its automatic qualifier using Sagarin’s most up-to-date ratings variance following all of the Division I Football games played Nov. 17.

Scenario 1 & 2

ODU ineligible at 7-1, UNH, TOW, UR, NOVA all 6-2 -- All tied teams have not faced each other; highest common opponent…versus ODU (7-1): UNH 0-1, UR 0-1, TOW 0-1, NOVA 1-0 --- NOVA is autobid.

Scenario 3 & 4

ODU ineligible at 7-1, UNH, TOW, NOVA all 6-2 -- TOW is 2-0 versus all tied teams, UNH did not face NOVA but a win for either would make them 1-1 in the group…still not a better winning percentage than TOW in the scenario --- TOW is autobid.

Scenario 12 & 13

ODU ineligible at 7-1, UNH, TOW both 6-2 -- TOW beat UNH head-to-head --- TOW is autobid.

Scenario 5 & 10

JMU, UNH, ODU, TOW all 6-2 -- All tied teams have not faced each other; highest common opponent does not exist; ELO_CHESS…ELO_CHESS rating (released following all Division I games Saturday) ---autobid will be determined upon Sagarin release.

Scenario 6 & 15

JMU, UNH, ODU, TOW, NOVA all 6-2 -- All tied teams have not faced each other; highest common opponent does not exist; ELO_CHESS…ELO_CHESS rating (released following all Division I games Saturday) --- autobid will be determined upon Sagarin release.

Scenario 7 & 11

JMU, UNH, ODU, UR, TOW, NOVA all 6-2 -- All tied teams have not faced each other; highest common opponent does not exist; ELO_CHESS…ELO_CHESS rating (released following all Division I games Saturday) --- autobid will be determined upon Sagarin release.

Scenario 8 & 9

JMU, UNH, ODU, UR, TOW all 6-2 -- All tied teams have not faced each other; highest common opponent does not exist; ELO_CHESS…ELO_CHESS rating (released following all Division I games Saturday) --- autobid will be determined upon Sagarin release.

Scenario 14 & 16

ODU ineligible at 7-1, UNH, UR, TOW all 6-2 -- All tied teams have not faced each other; highest common opponent; ELO_CHESS…versus ODU (7-1): UNH 0-1, UR 0-1, TOW 0-1; versus DEL (3-5): UNH 1-0, UR 1-0, TOW 1-0; versus WM (1-7): UNH 1-0, UR 1-0, TOW 1-0; versus URI (0-8): UNH 1-0, UR 1-0, TOW 1-0; ELO_CHESS rating (released following all Division I games Saturday) --- autobid will be determined upon Sagarin release.

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