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Closest to the Pin -- West Virginia

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Update: Game Results: With the Cats losing another tough one, 66-68, we congratulate six VUHoops readers who took medals in this round. Gold Medal: Rick 19 (73-70), earning 5 points; Silver Medals: Barney Rubble ’87 (76-69) and NJ Super’Nova (75-70), earning 3 points each; Bronze Medals: Chad (77-70), LuvmyKatz (77-66), and Kait’08 (75-72), earning 1 point.

Update:  Saturday, March 6, 12:00 Noon (Game Time)     A total of 47 VUH readers have posted predictions, two predicting a West Virginia victory.  As a group, the readers see ‘Nova winning 82-75 (a margin of 7.0 points and implied total points of 157).  The Vegas odds-makers favor the Cats (-3.5) in a lower scoring contest (over/under set at 151.5), implying a final score of 78-74).   The scatter graph depicting the readers’ predictions as well as statistical information about West Virginia is provided below.  As there are no “Hog-esq” reader predictions in the bunch, all are reflected in the scatter graph.

Closest to the Pin West Virginia II 

Window Opening:  Thursday, March 4, 8:00 PM    Even though the Closest to the Pin Contest officially has ended, by popular demand we are continuing our tradition of inviting readers to predict final game scores for as long as the Cats keep playing this season.  Everyone has a clean slate.  We now play for pride, not prizes.  So, the window is now open to pick the final score vs. West Virginia on Saturday at Wachovia.  

So far this season, Villanova (24-5, 13-4) has scored an average of 83.3 points while holding their opponents to 72.8.  West Virginia (23-6, 12-5) has scored an average of 74.9 points while holding their opponents to 64.8.  In the first meeting between the teams on February 8 at Morgantown, the Cats prevailed 82-75.  The table below summarizes the Mountaineers complete Big East game results so far this season.

  
W.Virginia   Opponent Margin  
90 @ 84 6 Seton Hall
63 vs 62 1 Marquette
86 vs 52 34 Rutgers
68 @ 70 (2) Notre Dame
69 @ 50 19 South Florida
71 vs 72 (1) Syracuse
68 @ 60 8 Marshall
62 @ 46 16 DePaul
77 vs 74 3 Louisville
70 vs 51 19 Pittsburgh
79 @ 60 19 St. John's
75 vs 82 (7) Villanova
95 @ 98 (3) Pittsburgh
88 @ 74 14 Providence
75 vs 63 12 Seton Hall
62 @ 73 (11) Connecticut
74 vs 68 6 Cincinnati
81 vs 68 13 Georgetown

Villanova is presently ranked #9, has an RPI of 7, and SOS of 32.  Despite the inferior record and losing in it's head-to-head game vs. Villanova, West Virginia is ranked higher at #8 , has an RPI of 6 and an SOS of 3.  We’ll post our game preview and the Las Vegas point spread and over/under on game day.