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Closest to the Pin Round 22: Marquette

Update: Saturday, February 2 (Game Results). With the Cat’s 75-70 victory over Marquette, we congratulate eleven VU Hoops readers who took medals in this game. Bulls-eyes: Barney Rubble (75-70) and NovaFlyer (75-70), earning 10.0 points each; Silver Medals: chuck st. petersburg (75-69), Mouph Man (75-71) and Two in the Pinkston (75-69), earning 3.0 points each; and Bronze Medals: dom (77-70), Kait’08 (77-70), mj (74-71), Muhley (76-71), pttam7yanks (74-69) and Steph (75-68), earning 1.0 points each. Our updated leader board is provided below.

VUHoops vs. Vegas: Placing two rational bets based on the average predicted scores of the VUHoops Crowd vs. the posted Vegas line and total points, we would have won $200 on this game. The details follow. We are now +$1,000 for the season.

VU Hoops Vegas Bet Result
Point Spread 'Nova -5 'Nova -6 Marquette +6 WIN
Total Points 147.0 149.5 Under WIN

Leader Board After 22 Rounds

Reader Points
BarneyRubble 16.0
Beardog 15.5
Pat'12 15.0
chuck st.petersburg 14.5
Hugh Jass 13.5
Joe 13.5
TC'87 13.5
regred 13.0
novafan95 12.5
Joey 10.5
Nervous Nelly 10.5
NovaFlyer 10.0
Palsgraf 10.0
Robertrise 10.0
Mouph Man 9.5
TK87 9.5
mj 9.0
Two in the Pinkston 8.0
NovaCat94 7.5
Dj pizzle 7.0
mfc4293 7.0
REPRESENT804 7.0
friartownmayor 6.5
Kittlesfan95 6.5
Steph 6.5
hit the bid 6.0
Pena Power 6.0
mattymo 5.5
Kait'08 5.0
marty1029 5.0
Old School 5.0
SeanDon 5.0
gaparch 4.5
Stevie V 4.5
Andy'06 4.0
Colt 4.0
Ed'08 4.0
doctor feelgoodes 3.5
Jimmy 3.5
Arctic Cat 3.0
Bill '77 3.0
CJ 3.0
Mark Anderson 3.0
miles'88 3.0
Novachamps22 3.0
Schitzengigles 3.0
Simple'07 3.0
Tommyboy 3.0
cdtoffers 2.5
super nova 2.5
Clarkkell 2.0
David '06 2.0
DMC 2.0
pttam7yanks 2.0
Bri'13 1.5
CMM 1.5
DP5 1.5
EG'77 1.5
Esto 1.5
FLM'33 1.5
Mark A 1.5
mprams 1.5
Pete (Aliti 13) 1.5
Chicken Dinner 1.0
dom 1.0
Johnnyb1 1.0
Loser Cruiser 1.0
Lou '06 1.0
Matt 1.0
Muhley 1.0
Rich'09 1.0
Vinny'06 1.0
bgunn 0.5
Brendan '10 0.5
Christopher Coggins 0.5
David 0.5
FishersTalent13 0.5

Update: Wednesday, February 2 (Game Time). A total of 67 VUHoops readers posted predictions, four picking the Golden Eagles to win. As a group, the readers see ‘Nova winning by a score of 76-71 (a margin of 5.0 points and implied over/under of 147). The Vegas odds makers also are picking 'Nova to win by 6.0 points and set the over/under at 149.5 points, implying a final score of 78.72. KenPom.com’s model is predicting Nova to win by 7.0 points by a score of 79-72.

Scatter Plot of Predicted Scores

Window Opening: Monday, January 31 (9:00 PM). The window is now open for readers to post their predicted final scores for ‘Nova’s game vs. Marquette on Wednesday at 7:00 PM (Pavilion / ESPNU) in our Closest to the Pin Contest. After twenty-one rounds, Beardog has taken the lead with 15.5 points. Click here to see our full leader board. In our VUHoops vs. Vegas competition, VUHoops is up $800.

The #12 Cats (17-4, 5-3) have an RPI of 10, a SOS of 36 and are scoring an average of 76.0 PPG while giving up an average of 63.8 PPG. The Golden Eagles (14-8, 5-4) are unranked, have an RPI of 58, a SOS of 28, and score an average of 79.8 PPG while allowing an average of 68.8 PPG.

Marquette’s Big East wins have come against West Virginia (+5), Rutgers (+8), Notre Dame (+22), DePaul (+30) and Syracuse (+6). Their Big East losses have come against Pittsburgh (-8), Louisville (-1), Notre Dame (-5) and Connecticut (-8). More statistical information about Marquette is available at Statsheet.com.

Be sure to check out Brian’s game preview.

Special Note: When posting predictions, please be sure to:

  • List your predicted score for Villanova first, followed by the score for the opponent (e.g., Cats 100, Friars 75)
  • All future games (except Rivalry Games), points are awarded to winners as follows: Bulls-eye = 10 points; Gold (non-bulls-eye) =5 pts; Silver = 3pts; Bronze = 1pt.
  • Note the following rule change: given the extraordinary number of readers participating in the contest, we can no longer enforce our rule prohibiting duplicate score predictions.
  • Use a consistent handle / ID so that we can keep an accurate running leader board over the course of the season. Obviously, score predictions posted by guests or anonymous readers cannot be accepted.