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Closest to the Pin Round 29: St. John's

Update: Saturday, February 27 (Game Results). With the Cat’s 68-81 loss to St. John’s, we congratulate three VU Hoops readers who took medals in this round. Gold Medal: Johnnyb1 (68-77) earning 5.0 points; Silver Medal: Old School (70-75) earning 3.0 points; Bronze Medal: mj (67-72) earning 1.0 point. Our updated leader board is provided below.

VUHoops vs. Vegas: Based on the average predicted scores of the VUHoops Crowd and the posted Vegas line, we would have won $200 by betting ‘St. John’s +6 (win) and the Over (win). The details follow. With the double-win, we are now +$500 for the season.


VU Hoops Vegas Bet Actual Result
Spread 'Nova -4.0 'Nova -6.0 SJU + 6.0 SJU by 13 WIN
Total 138.0 134.5 OVER 149 WIN

Leader Board After 29 Rounds

Reader Points
regred 25.0
BarneyRubble 21.0
Hugh Jass 21.0
Beardog 18.5
Mouph Man 15.5
Pat'12 15.0
chuck st.petersburg 14.5
Joe 14.5
TC'87 13.5
mj 13.0
novafan95 12.5
Old School 11.0
Robertrise 11.0
hit the bid 10.5
Joey 10.5
Nervous Nelly 10.5
NovaFlyer 10.0
Palsgraf 10.0
TK87 9.5
dom 8.5
Pena Power 8.0
Simple'07 8.0
Two in the Pinkston 8.0
Chicken Dinner 7.5
NovaCat94 7.5
Dj pizzle 7.0
mfc4293 7.0
REPRESENT804 7.0
DP5 6.5
friartownmayor 6.5
Kittlesfan95 6.5
Steph 6.5
Johnnyb1 6.0
mattymo 5.5
Clarkkell 5.0
honey badger 5.0
Jmac'09 5.0
Kait'08 5.0
marty1029 5.0
SeanDon 5.0
Ed'77 4.5
gaparch 4.5
Stevie V 4.5
Andy'06 4.0
Colt 4.0
Ed'08 4.0
doctor feelgoodes 3.5
Jimmy 3.5
Arctic Cat 3.0
Bill '77 3.0
CJ 3.0
DMC 3.0
Mark Anderson 3.0
miles'88 3.0
Novachamps22 3.0
Schitzengigles 3.0
Tommyboy 3.0
cdtoffers 2.5
Pete (Aliti 13) 2.5
super nova 2.5
David '06 2.0
Lou '06 2.0
pttam7yanks 2.0
Bri'13 1.5
CMM 1.5
EG'77 1.5
Esto 1.5
FLM'33 1.5
Mark A 1.5
mprams 1.5
Rick19 1.5
Loser Cruiser 1.0
MarkA 1.0
Matt 1.0
Muhley 1.0
Rich'09 1.0
The Chameleon 1.0
Vinny'06 1.0
bgunn 0.5
Brendan '10 0.5
Christopher Coggins 0.5
David 0.5
FishersTalent13 0.5

Update: Saturday, February 27 (Game Time). A total of 52 VUHoops readers posted predictions, six picking the Red Storm to win. As a group, the readers see ‘Nova winning by a score of 71-67 (a margin of 4.0 points and implied over/under of 138). The Vegas odds makers are picking 'Nova to win by 6.0 points and set the over/under at 134.5 points, implying a final score of 70-64. KenPom.com’s model is predicting Nova to win by 7.0 points by a score of 71-64.

Scatter Plot of Predicted Scores

Window Opening: Thursday , February 24 (4:00 PM). The window is now open for readers to post their predicted final scores for ‘Nova’s game vs. St. John’s on Saturday at 2:00 PM (Wells Fargo Center) in our Closest to the Pin Contest. After twenty-eight rounds, regred has jumped into the lead with 25.0 points. Click here to see our current leader board. In our VUHoops vs. Vegas competition, VUHoops is up $300 for the season.

The #15 Cats (21-7, 9-6) have an RPI of 27, a SOS of 34, are scoring an average of 73.9 PPG while giving up an average of 64.1. The #23 Red Storm (18-9, 10-5) have an RPI of 10, a SOS of 1, and are scoring an average of 69.4 PPG while giving up an average of 66.3. The margins of victory / defeat for all of St. John’s Big East games so far this season are as follows:

St. John's Wins Winning Margin
Cincinnati 2
Connecticut 17
DePaul 25
Georgetown 3
Marquette 12
Notre Dame 18
Pittsburgh 1
Providence 2
Rutgers 2
West Virginia 10
St. John's Losses Losing Margin
Cincinnati -2
Georgetown -25
Louisville -25
Notre Dame -15
Syracuse -17

More statistical information about Syracuse is available at Statsheet.com.

KenPom.com’s model is predicting Nova to win by 6.0 points by a score of 70-64.

Be sure to check out Brian’s game preview.

Special Note: When posting scores, please remember to list your predicted score for Villanova first, followed by the opponent’s score (e.g., ‘Nova 70 – St. John’s 65).