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Closest to the Pin Contest Round 4 - Butler

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The VUHoops Crowd saw Nova winning by 9 points, but Vegas was closer predicting an 11 point win (vs. actual of 12 points). BosshogHazzard picked Nova by 77 and sat alone this round in the Irrational Exuberance Zone. All others are well within 3 standard deviations of the mean predicted score. With 64 posting scores, we raised $160 in this game toward NovaDave's Wawa Arena at Villanova 10,000 seat basketball complex. NovaKG took the brass ring in this round and jumped into first place in the contest with eight games to go.

Kevin Jairaj-USA TODAY Sports

RESULTS: With the Cats commanding win over Butler, 67 – 55, we congratulate six VUHoops readers who earned points in this round.

  1. NovaKG (Nova 67, Butler 52) awarded 3 points
  2. Jpbfrog (Nova 67, Butler 59) awarded 2 points
  3. nationer15 (Nova 68, Butler 58) awarded 2 points
  4. willyannan (Nova 66, Butler 58) awarded 2 points
  5. NovaEngineer (Nova 72, Butler 54) awarded 1 point
  6. youngBUCK (Nova 69, Butler 59) awarded 1 point

The updated leader board after three rounds is provided below.

Player Points
NovaKG 4
drpainosaurus 3
John-Knee V 3
Noah Thacker 3
SMOKIN JAY WRIGHT 3
Johnny Burke 2
jpbfrog 2
kevin.pulsifer 2
nationer15 2
speedracer33 2
Sweetness and Light 2
villadelphiapa 2
willyannan 2
Zxcvbnmmnbvcxz 2
Eberz for 3! 1
Kantcant 1
NovaDave 1
NovaEngineer 1
ryanschock24 1
youngBUCK 1

VUHOOPS vs. VEGAS: Based on the average predicted scores of the VUHoops Crowd and the posted Vegas line, we would have had a DOUBLE-LOSS by betting Butler +11.0 points (LOSS) and  betting the OVER (LOSS). After three rounds, we would be down $200.

UPDATE (December 31, Tip-off ) ... Recapped below is the way the VUHoops Crowd saw this one.

 	CTTP Funds Raised as of 12-31

# Reader Predictions:  64

% Picking Cats to Win: 100%

$ Raised for Nova Men’s Basketball: $160

Wisdom of VUHoops' Crowd Prediction:

o Spread: Villanova -9.0

o Over/Under: 139.0

o Final Score: Nova 74 - Butler 65

Vegas Odds Makers' Prediction:

o Spread: Villanova: -11

o Over/Under: 131.5

o Final Score: Nova 71- Temple 60

SCATTER PLOT OF PREDICTED SCORES

CTTP Butler Dec 14

Window Opening (December 30): The window is now open for our readers to post their predicted final scores for Villanova’s conference opener on Wednesday, New Year’s Eve, vs. Butler. The official contest rules are posted HERE.

After three rounds, drpainosaurus, John-Knee V, Noah Thacker and SMOKIN JAY WRIGHT are tied for the lead with three points each. The full Leader Board is posted HERE.

Don't forget that you support Villanova Men's Basketball by playing Closest to the Pin.  A contribution of $2.50 will be made to Villanova Men's Basketball for each score posted over the nine conference home games over the remainder of the Contest up to a maximum of $5,000.

The table below provides a head-to-head comparison of the two teams.

Nova

Butler

Record

12-0

10-3

AP Ranking

#7

NR

RPI

#7

#37

SOS

#68

#73

Avg. Points Scored

77.9

71.3

Avg. Points Allowed

59.3

56.2

Villanova's best win this season was over VCU (AP #14; RPI #2). Butler’s best win was over North Carolina (AP #5; RPI #16), while their worst loss came at the hands of Indiana (RPI #117).

Enter your predicted final score in the comments section in the format: NOVA xx, Butler yy. Good luck!