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Under the Hood: Butler Bulldogs

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A quick look at the lineup data and shot charts of the Butler Bulldogs

Howard Smith-USA TODAY Sports

This will essentially be a stats-centric, quick preview of today's opponent - the Butler Bulldogs. It's something I (or yB) will generally try to do before most of the team's Big East games - a quick rundown of the available stats (and shot charts) we've been gathering. It must be noted that data will often be somewhat incomplete, especially with shots - the source we use typically logs rivalry games and top 25 matchups, and not shots from every single D-I basketball game.  There will be minimal writing - mostly just a few sentences to point out some interesting stuff - as the point of this is more to inform than fully analyze. I don't watch Butler play enough to connect the analysis to much I've seen.

Without further ado: the Butler defense (in shot chart!)

ButlerD

Unfortunately, we only have data for 5 games.  Butler's only recently become ranked, and I don't have an explanation for why a shot chart wasn't logged for the Butler-UNC game.  Maybe the Bahamas make scorekeepers lazy. Anyway, these shots encompass those the Butler defense has faced against: Indiana State, Northwestern, Kennesaw State, Tennessee, and Indiana.

Their rim defense (in these sampled games) has been about average (60-106, or 56.60%), while the 3 point defense has excellent (28-86, for 32.55%). This is far from a real sample, though, so I supplemented the visual/our data with a look at hoop-math.com.

Essentially, Butler has built their defensive strength around stopping the jump shot - which makes sense, given the dearth of rim protection size at the back end.  Teams are shooting 33.33% on all non-dunk/layup/tip shots over the course of the season, and only hitting 28.1% of their shots from 3.  They have been hurting-ish at the rim, giving up a FG% of 55.1% overall.  This is hardly bad (it's slightly better than average), but it's easily the weak part of their defense.

And now (drumroll....) Butler's Offense! Same 5-game-sample-size caveats apply.

ButlerO

They're a below average shooting team from anywhere farther than 5 feet from the rim - in total, they hit 33.56% (50-149) of ALL their shots taken from outside 5 feet, going 27-79 (34.17%) from deep. Their average in each of the zones away from the rim has typically been below typical NCAA average.  This is a bonus for Villanova, considering how strong they've been protecting the rim in transition (where Butler likes to generate a lot of its easy attempts) and in the half-court.

Again expanding the sample beyond our 5 games, the same conclusions typically bear out.  They're a below average team from 2 point jumper range (34.1% vs ~35.5%) and 3 point territory (33.8% vs ~34.5%), and average to slightly above it at the rim.

Their best shooter by far has been Kellen Dunham, who's hitting a scorching 45.7% from 3 and even taking it to the rim at a much improved clip (20.4% of his attempts this year have been at the rim, compared to 12.9% last year).  He's the man to watch in the half-court, as no one else on the team has even cracked 34% from deep. He may have earned his reputation as an unrepentant gunner, but when you're hitting that many of your shots, I can't attach much of a negative connotation to the rep.  He takes, and makes, a ton of shots.

And... with as little commentary as possible, their best 5-, 4-, 3-, and 2-man lineup combinations. The O's and D's represent four factor measurements on offense and on defense, respectively.

5-man

O

D

O

D

O

D

O

D

Player 1

Player 2

Player 3

Player 4

Player 5

MIN

eFG%

eFG%

TO%

TO%

OR%

OR%

FTR

FTR

O Rtg

D Rtg

Differential

Alex Barlow

Andrew Chrabascz

Kellen Dunham

Roosevelt Jones

Kameron Woods

213.9

50.16%

48.11%

17.37%

24.56%

36.09%

23.65%

36.04%

28.03%

1.04

0.86

0.19

Alex Barlow

Roosevelt Jones

Kelan Martin

Tyler Wideman

Austin Etherington

28.05

50.00%

30.00%

21.90%

21.86%

11.11%

31.03%

30.56%

15.56%

0.86

0.62

0.24

Alex Barlow

Andrew Chrabascz

Roosevelt Jones

Kameron Woods

Kelan Martin

19.56667

48.44%

44.44%

20.36%

25.75%

38.89%

14.29%

15.63%

7.41%

1.05

0.72

0.33

Alex Barlow

Kellen Dunham

Roosevelt Jones

Kameron Woods

Tyler Wideman

18.71667

72.92%

44.83%

10.79%

12.97%

30.00%

31.25%

33.33%

20.69%

1.44

0.97

0.47

Alex Barlow

Kellen Dunham

Roosevelt Jones

Tyler Wideman

Austin Etherington

17.36667

54.17%

35.71%

17.05%

35.60%

23.08%

21.43%

29.17%

19.05%

1.06

0.55

0.51

Alex Barlow

Andrew Chrabascz

Kellen Dunham

Kelan Martin

Austin Etherington

15.15

60.00%

45.00%

18.30%

20.96%

50.00%

33.33%

28.00%

30.00%

1.28

0.88

0.40

Andrew Chrabascz

Kellen Dunham

Roosevelt Jones

Kameron Woods

Kelan Martin

14.83333

58.70%

42.31%

13.66%

7.07%

20.00%

28.57%

39.13%

34.62%

1.20

1.03

0.17

Alex Barlow

Kellen Dunham

Kelan Martin

Tyler Wideman

Austin Etherington

13.46667

70.00%

35.71%

25.32%

8.24%

30.00%

21.43%

80.00%

42.86%

1.18

0.78

0.40

Alex Barlow

Kellen Dunham

Roosevelt Jones

Kameron Woods

Austin Etherington

12.91667

36.84%

63.64%

10.05%

16.85%

25.00%

0.00%

21.05%

72.73%

0.90

1.01

-0.11

Alex Barlow

Andrew Chrabascz

Kellen Dunham

Kameron Woods

Kelan Martin

11.43333

14.29%

65.38%

12.74%

39.11%

37.50%

66.67%

85.71%

30.77%

0.76

1.12

-0.35

Alex Barlow

Kellen Dunham

Kameron Woods

Kelan Martin

Tyler Wideman

11.35

25.00%

36.67%

22.35%

33.33%

22.22%

30.00%

28.57%

0.00%

0.56

0.61

-0.05

Alex Barlow

Roosevelt Jones

Kameron Woods

Kelan Martin

Tyler Wideman

11.28333

53.13%

46.15%

15.52%

28.07%

60.00%

0.00%

43.75%

38.46%

1.09

0.61

0.48

Jackson Aldridge

Andrew Chrabascz

Kellen Dunham

Roosevelt Jones

Kameron Woods

10.38333

59.09%

40.00%

25.38%

22.83%

40.00%

0.00%

109.09%

26.67%

1.12

0.64

0.48

4-man

O

D

O

D

O

D

O

D

Lineup #

Player 1

Player 2

Player 3

Player 4

MIN

eFG%

eFG%

TO%

TO%

OR%

OR%

FTR

FTR

O Rtg

D Rtg

Differential

871

Andrew Chrabascz

Kellen Dunham

Roosevelt Jones

Kameron Woods

224.2833

50.47%

47.67%

17.78%

24.46%

36.21%

22.58%

38.56%

27.96%

1.05

0.84

0.20

1185

Roosevelt Jones

Kelan Martin

Tyler Wideman

Austin Etherington

45.95

45.16%

37.67%

22.37%

20.69%

30.30%

33.33%

35.48%

17.81%

0.88

0.79

0.09

1156

Roosevelt Jones

Kameron Woods

Kelan Martin

Tyler Wideman

20.98333

53.33%

56.00%

17.91%

24.74%

50.00%

0.00%

56.67%

20.00%

1.07

0.80

0.28

916

Andrew Chrabascz

Roosevelt Jones

Kameron Woods

Kelan Martin

19.98333

48.44%

42.86%

19.82%

25.03%

38.89%

13.33%

21.88%

7.14%

1.08

0.70

0.38

1037

Kellen Dunham

Roosevelt Jones

Kameron Woods

Tyler Wideman

19.78333

72.92%

40.63%

10.79%

11.82%

30.00%

27.78%

33.33%

18.75%

1.44

0.89

0.55

1052

Kellen Dunham

Roosevelt Jones

Tyler Wideman

Austin Etherington

17.55

52.00%

35.71%

16.49%

35.60%

21.43%

21.43%

28.00%

19.05%

1.02

0.55

0.47

1101

Kellen Dunham

Kelan Martin

Tyler Wideman

Austin Etherington

16.63333

67.50%

38.00%

23.20%

9.77%

25.00%

17.65%

65.00%

48.00%

1.16

0.78

0.38

880

Andrew Chrabascz

Kellen Dunham

Kameron Woods

Kelan Martin

15.9

23.81%

58.70%

8.46%

24.76%

30.00%

54.55%

66.67%

39.13%

0.85

1.13

-0.29

1036

Kellen Dunham

Roosevelt Jones

Kameron Woods

Kelan Martin

15.31667

56.25%

42.31%

12.62%

6.84%

16.67%

28.57%

50.00%

42.31%

1.10

1.06

0.04

890

Andrew Chrabascz

Kellen Dunham

Kelan Martin

Austin Etherington

15.15

60.00%

45.00%

18.30%

20.96%

50.00%

33.33%

28.00%

30.00%

1.28

0.88

0.40

1039

Kellen Dunham

Roosevelt Jones

Kameron Woods

Austin Etherington

14.4

35.00%

64.29%

8.77%

14.10%

23.08%

0.00%

40.00%

64.29%

0.92

1.08

-0.16

1072

Kellen Dunham

Kameron Woods

Kelan Martin

Tyler Wideman

12.65

30.00%

34.21%

20.15%

31.89%

20.00%

38.46%

40.00%

10.53%

0.65

0.64

0.02

1158

Roosevelt Jones

Kameron Woods

Kelan Martin

Austin Etherington

12.46667

52.78%

53.57%

23.39%

26.94%

36.36%

25.00%

27.78%

64.29%

1.03

0.94

0.09

3-man

O

D

O

D

O

D

O

D

Lineup #

Player 1

Player 2

Player 3

MIN

eFG%

eFG%

TO%

TO%

OR%

OR%

FTR

FTR

O Rtg

D Rtg

Differential

291

Kellen Dunham

Roosevelt Jones

Kameron Woods

287.7333

52.09%

47.83%

16.89%

21.77%

34.40%

22.73%

40.15%

29.08%

1.08

0.88

0.20

125

Alex Barlow

Roosevelt Jones

Kameron Woods

285.0833

50.24%

48.30%

16.84%

23.94%

35.56%

22.05%

34.14%

29.18%

1.05

0.85

0.20

115

Alex Barlow

Kellen Dunham

Roosevelt Jones

270.2167

51.69%

46.84%

16.85%

24.52%

33.65%

22.75%

36.20%

29.52%

1.06

0.84

0.22

246

Andrew Chrabascz

Roosevelt Jones

Kameron Woods

259.1

50.80%

46.85%

17.67%

23.38%

35.64%

22.28%

37.17%

26.73%

1.06

0.84

0.22

237

Andrew Chrabascz

Kellen Dunham

Kameron Woods

255.0167

49.45%

48.02%

17.00%

23.33%

34.80%

25.00%

40.22%

29.27%

1.05

0.87

0.17

236

Andrew Chrabascz

Kellen Dunham

Roosevelt Jones

252.1

51.66%

45.63%

17.47%

24.17%

34.38%

22.65%

40.17%

29.06%

1.07

0.83

0.24

104

Alex Barlow

Andrew Chrabascz

Kellen Dunham

250.2667

50.00%

48.06%

17.41%

25.25%

36.27%

24.71%

39.39%

28.48%

1.05

0.86

0.20

105

Alex Barlow

Andrew Chrabascz

Roosevelt Jones

245.65

50.70%

47.04%

17.91%

24.89%

35.03%

21.64%

34.92%

28.29%

1.04

0.83

0.21

106

Alex Barlow

Andrew Chrabascz

Kameron Woods

244.9

48.59%

48.52%

17.44%

25.31%

36.45%

24.40%

36.16%

26.32%

1.03

0.86

0.18

336

Roosevelt Jones

Kameron Woods

Kelan Martin

68.75

52.40%

47.85%

18.04%

21.00%

35.85%

17.78%

39.42%

29.03%

1.07

0.86

0.22

344

Roosevelt Jones

Kelan Martin

Tyler Wideman

67.91667

48.40%

43.50%

21.22%

21.57%

34.78%

28.00%

41.49%

18.00%

0.95

0.81

0.13

300

Kellen Dunham

Kameron Woods

Kelan Martin

66.31667

44.89%

48.96%

15.55%

19.20%

25.45%

41.18%

56.82%

38.54%

0.98

1.06

-0.08

142

Alex Barlow

Kelan Martin

Tyler Wideman

66.23333

51.19%

35.94%

22.38%

22.89%

23.26%

25.42%

40.48%

21.88%

0.92

0.66

0.26

346

Roosevelt Jones

Kelan Martin

Austin Etherington

66.05

46.32%

37.50%

20.89%

22.45%

29.09%

28.81%

34.74%

31.25%

0.91

0.77

0.14

134

Alex Barlow

Kameron Woods

Kelan Martin

64.86667

39.25%

48.15%

17.73%

29.84%

35.59%

26.09%

36.56%

28.40%

0.89

0.79

0.10

352

Roosevelt Jones

Tyler Wideman

Austin Etherington

63.5

47.13%

37.23%

20.76%

24.76%

27.66%

30.36%

33.33%

18.09%

0.92

0.73

0.20

401

Kelan Martin

Tyler Wideman

Austin Etherington

62.58333

50.61%

37.76%

22.60%

17.72%

28.89%

28.81%

42.68%

25.51%

0.96

0.79

0.17

118

Alex Barlow

Kellen Dunham

Tyler Wideman

60.93333

57.79%

38.95%

18.15%

22.11%

25.58%

25.93%

41.56%

22.09%

1.10

0.74

0.36

150

Alex Barlow

Tyler Wideman

Austin Etherington

58.88333

55.33%

32.76%

21.31%

22.75%

19.51%

26.32%

40.00%

22.99%

0.99

0.64

0.35

116

Alex Barlow

Kellen Dunham

Kameron Woods

57.43333

43.33%

49.31%

12.68%

23.23%

28.57%

32.56%

41.33%

33.33%

0.98

0.95

0.03

127

Alex Barlow

Roosevelt Jones

Tyler Wideman

56.7

51.97%

34.18%

19.22%

27.29%

22.22%

24.49%

32.89%

20.25%

0.96

0.59

0.37

293

Kellen Dunham

Roosevelt Jones

Tyler Wideman

56.35

55.70%

44.30%

18.12%

21.62%

36.59%

24.39%

34.18%

18.99%

1.12

0.83

0.29

295

Kellen Dunham

Roosevelt Jones

Austin Etherington

55.41667

50.00%

39.39%

18.49%

25.82%

31.11%

17.50%

32.10%

40.91%

1.04

0.74

0.29

126

Alex Barlow

Roosevelt Jones

Kelan Martin

53.1

48.00%

38.36%

20.34%

24.39%

22.50%

22.73%

34.67%

32.88%

0.88

0.69

0.19

107

Alex Barlow

Andrew Chrabascz

Kelan Martin

51.7

46.30%

49.24%

18.52%

26.27%

37.04%

27.78%

35.80%

27.27%

1.04

0.87

0.17

255

Andrew Chrabascz

Kameron Woods

Kelan Martin

50.8

44.74%

47.40%

14.73%

19.26%

31.25%

29.27%

39.47%

28.57%

1.05

0.93

0.12

310

Kellen Dunham

Kelan Martin

Austin Etherington

49.56667

59.29%

41.04%

19.38%

15.73%

37.84%

31.11%

44.29%

52.24%

1.20

0.92

0.28

238

Andrew Chrabascz

Kellen Dunham

Kelan Martin

49.35

48.03%

45.27%

14.34%

18.32%

32.61%

35.71%

46.05%

35.14%

1.11

0.95

0.16

308

Kellen Dunham

Kelan Martin

Tyler Wideman

48.3

48.46%

43.57%

23.33%

18.82%

35.90%

25.64%

47.69%

27.14%

0.96

0.85

0.11

120

Alex Barlow

Kellen Dunham

Austin Etherington

46.28333

54.10%

41.23%

17.12%

21.83%

25.71%

20.51%

37.70%

43.86%

1.08

0.76

0.32

316

Kellen Dunham

Tyler Wideman

Austin Etherington

43.5

53.28%

39.17%

22.24%

21.53%

33.33%

21.05%

36.07%

35.00%

1.03

0.75

0.29

117

Alex Barlow

Kellen Dunham

Kelan Martin

42.98333

54.31%

39.17%

20.17%

19.45%

33.33%

29.27%

44.83%

35.00%

1.05

0.81

0.24

129

Alex Barlow

Roosevelt Jones

Austin Etherington

42.9

50.88%

32.79%

21.92%

26.23%

17.24%

25.64%

31.58%

27.87%

0.90

0.64

0.27

292

Kellen Dunham

Roosevelt Jones

Kelan Martin

42.05

53.03%

44.35%

20.06%

14.67%

37.14%

25.81%

46.97%

33.87%

1.07

0.97

0.10

337

Roosevelt Jones

Kameron Woods

Tyler Wideman

40.76667

62.04%

47.37%

14.95%

18.51%

40.91%

19.23%

46.30%

19.30%

1.23

0.84

0.39

372

Kameron Woods

Kelan Martin

Tyler Wideman

33.63333

45.56%

46.59%

18.67%

27.43%

36.36%

23.81%

51.11%

15.91%

0.93

0.74

0.20

301

Kellen Dunham

Kameron Woods

Tyler Wideman

32.43333

56.41%

38.24%

14.69%

19.71%

25.00%

32.26%

35.90%

15.69%

1.11

0.79

0.32

144

Alex Barlow

Kelan Martin

Austin Etherington

30.26667

52.04%

45.95%

16.61%

24.32%

35.71%

26.92%

26.53%

59.46%

1.07

0.86

0.21

2-man

O

D

O

D

O

D

O

D

Lineup #

Player 1

Player 2

MIN

eFG%

eFG%

TO%

TO%

OR%

OR%

FTR

FTR

O Rtg

D Rtg

Differential

46

Andrew Chrabascz

Austin Etherington

33.08333

57.55%

33.33%

17.18%

24.39%

31.03%

17.86%

35.85%

47.62%

1.14

0.67

0.47

21

Alex Barlow

Tyler Wideman

102.35

55.68%

37.67%

19.57%

23.37%

23.88%

25.84%

37.88%

21.23%

1.02

0.70

0.33

71

Kameron Woods

Tyler Wideman

53.41667

55.07%

44.08%

16.14%

21.70%

34.38%

25.64%

44.93%

17.11%

1.10

0.79

0.30

23

Alex Barlow

Austin Etherington

111.9167

53.21%

38.44%

18.86%

23.28%

25.29%

22.92%

33.97%

38.10%

1.02

0.73

0.29

54

Kellen Dunham

Tyler Wideman

85.66667

54.39%

41.46%

19.40%

20.70%

31.25%

25.35%

41.23%

23.58%

1.06

0.79

0.27

63

Roosevelt Jones

Tyler Wideman

105.25

53.15%

41.83%

18.82%

22.13%

31.43%

26.83%

37.76%

18.30%

1.04

0.78

0.25

86

Tyler Wideman

Austin Etherington

88.53333

50.85%

35.88%

21.25%

21.53%

28.79%

25.61%

41.53%

28.24%

0.97

0.71

0.25

41

Andrew Chrabascz

Roosevelt Jones

277.4333

51.36%

45.48%

17.60%

24.10%

33.94%

21.50%

38.46%

28.53%

1.06

0.82

0.24

56

Kellen Dunham

Austin Etherington

99

53.19%

43.60%

18.53%

21.29%

33.33%

24.68%

38.30%

45.60%

1.09

0.86

0.23

51

Kellen Dunham

Roosevelt Jones

327.5833

52.04%

45.93%

17.29%

23.19%

34.00%

22.51%

39.70%

29.19%

1.07

0.84

0.23

18

Alex Barlow

Roosevelt Jones

342.6833

50.92%

45.25%

17.52%

24.57%

32.33%

22.27%

34.22%

28.70%

1.03

0.81

0.23

40

Andrew Chrabascz

Kellen Dunham

286.1

50.61%

46.60%

16.93%

23.95%

34.50%

24.64%

41.71%

29.35%

1.07

0.85

0.22

17

Alex Barlow

Kellen Dunham

327.1333

50.87%

46.46%

17.11%

24.28%

33.72%

24.69%

39.30%

29.51%

1.06

0.84

0.21

61

Roosevelt Jones

Kameron Woods

327.2167

51.39%

47.73%

17.13%

22.50%

35.20%

21.43%

38.54%

28.71%

1.07

0.86

0.21

65

Roosevelt Jones

Austin Etherington

104.6333

47.64%

38.77%

18.85%

24.69%

26.19%

23.81%

35.14%

34.06%

0.95

0.75

0.21

16

Alex Barlow

Andrew Chrabascz

276.8667

49.88%

47.39%

17.69%

24.92%

35.78%

23.20%

36.97%

28.41%

1.05

0.84

0.20

20

Alex Barlow

Kelan Martin

128.1833

47.78%

41.62%

20.02%

24.86%

30.84%

26.67%

38.33%

29.48%

0.96

0.76

0.20

78

Kelan Martin

Tyler Wideman

102.3833

51.12%

41.55%

21.49%

22.50%

29.58%

26.83%

46.27%

21.62%

0.96

0.77

0.20

43

Andrew Chrabascz

Kelan Martin

76.8

47.93%

45.45%

16.38%

20.28%

33.78%

26.98%

37.19%

32.73%

1.08

0.88

0.19

42

Andrew Chrabascz

Kameron Woods

275.0833

49.37%

47.61%

17.21%

23.42%

35.14%

23.98%

38.73%

28.09%

1.05

0.86

0.19

62

Roosevelt Jones

Kelan Martin

123.5167

49.45%

42.37%

19.50%

21.00%

31.63%

23.96%

38.80%

27.12%

0.99

0.81

0.18

19

Alex Barlow

Kameron Woods

310.4

48.54%

48.31%

16.81%

24.77%

35.20%

24.07%

35.36%

28.83%

1.03

0.85

0.17

80

Kelan Martin

Austin Etherington

108.85

50.97%

39.68%

20.62%

19.32%

32.56%

29.59%

38.31%

38.71%

1.01

0.84

0.17

52

Kellen Dunham

Kameron Woods

324.7833

49.89%

47.98%

16.58%

22.15%

32.94%

26.52%

41.91%

30.88%

1.05

0.90

0.15

4

Jackson Aldridge

Kellen Dunham

34.11667

45.12%

42.45%

13.42%

16.44%

22.22%

28.57%

85.37%

43.40%

1.02

0.88

0.14

53

Kellen Dunham

Kelan Martin

112.65

48.75%

45.34%

18.45%

18.00%

34.38%

33.70%

48.13%

38.51%

1.04

0.96

0.08

70

Kameron Woods

Kelan Martin

105.8833

45.64%

48.29%

16.77%

22.26%

31.03%

30.77%

44.97%

35.62%

0.99

0.92

0.07

73

Kameron Woods

Austin Etherington

35.36667

43.62%

57.69%

15.51%

19.21%

25.00%

31.82%

40.43%

76.92%

0.97

1.14

-0.17