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Closest to the Pin Contest Round 1: St. Joseph’s (PA)

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It was a dominating win by the Cats, exceeding the Crowd's predicted winning margin in a lower-scoring game than expected. BossHogHazzard's prediction of 108 - 34 was looking prescient for the first 10 minutes, but proved to be a bit of irrational exuberance at the end of the day. Congratulations to drpainosaurus, who takes the contest lead going into Round 2 with a predicted score of 77-49.

Bill Streicher-USA TODAY Sports

Closest to the Pin

GAME RESULTS:  With the Cat's dominating 74-46 win vs. St. Joe's, we congratulate five VUHoops readers who earned points in this game:

  1. drpainosaurus (Nova 77, St.Joe's 49) awarded 3 pts
  2. kevin.pulsifer (Nova 74, St.Joe's 57) awarded 2 pts
  3. speedracer33 (Nova 68, St.Joe's 51) awarded 2 pts
  4. Sweetness and Light (Nova 74 St.Joe's 57) awarded 2 pts
  5. NovaKG (Nova 79, St.Joe's 54) awarded 1 pt

VUHOOPS vs. VEGAS:  Based on the average predicted scores of the VUHoops Crowd and the posted Vegas line, we would have had a DOUBLE-LOSS by taking St. Joe's getting  21 points (LOSS) and betting the OVER (LOSS).  After one round, the VUHoops Crowd would be down $200.

UPDATE (December 6, Tip Off) ... Recapped below is the way the VUHoops Crowd sees this one.  If you believe the Crowd and are a betting man (or woman), the smart bets are ST. JOE'S +21 and the OVER.

# Reader Predictions: 52

% Picking Cats to Win: 98%

Wisdom of VUHoops' Crowd Prediction:

o   Spread: Villanova -20.

o   Over/Under: 140.0

o    Final Score: Cats 80 - St. Joe's 60

Vegas Odds Makers' Prediction:

o   Spread: Villanova -21.0

o   Over/Under: 126.5

o    Final Score: Cats 74 - St. Joe's 53

SCATTER PLOT OF PREDICTED SCORES

CTTP St. Joe's Dec 2014

With the Cat's 2014-15 season promising to be a special one, Mike has decided to run the Closest to the Pin Contest once again this year. This year's contest will cover all Villanova home conference games plus the St. Joseph's, Temple and Syracuse games in December.

Simply put, contestants predict the final game score and the three coming closest in each game earn points toward the contest grand prize awarded at the end of the season. Points will be awarded in each game to the three contestants with the smallest absolute difference between their predicted scores and the actual scores without regard to whether the contestant correctly picked the winning team.

The contestant coming closest to the final score earns three (3) points, second closest earns two (2) points and third closest earns one (1) point. If the player with the most accurate prediction picks the score exactly (i.e., a "Hole in One"), he or she earns a three (3) additional point bonus (i.e., 6 points in total). There can be more than three contestants earning points in the event of a tie. The contestant accumulating the most points over the course of the season will win bragging rights as the best prognosticator on VUHoops plus a $50 gift certificate to Fanatics.

The official rules of the contest are detailed HERE.  Our past Champions are:

  • 2013-14 Season: PacADAM
  • 2011-12 Season: Dom & Scott0220 (Tie)
  • 2010-11 Season: Regred
  • 2009-10 Season: Andy'06

Now let's begin the process of crowning our 2014-15 Champion ...

Window Opening (December 5, 11:00am ET): The window is now open for our readers to post their predicted final scores for Saturday's game vs. St. Joe's. Villanova (7-0) is ranked #10 in the AP Poll has an RPI of 84 and an SOS of 297. The Cats average 74.2 PPG while giving up an average of 55.0 PPG.

St. Joe's (3-3) is unranked in the AP Poll, has an RPI of 254 and an SOS of 276. The Hawks are scoring an average of 58.7 PPG while giving up an average of 65.5 PPG. Their wins have been against Vermont, Long Island and Temple, while their losses have come at the hands of Fairleigh Dickenson, Gonzaga and Western Kentucky.

Enter your predicted final score in the comments section in the format: NOVA xx, ST. JOE’S yy.