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Closest to the Pin Contest Round 6 – Xavier

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There was consensus among the VUHoops Crowd that the Cats would take this one by a 13 point margin, and the Crowd nailed it. Vegas incorrectly called it a bit tighter, posting a 9.5 point spread. Bosshog felt extremely confident and sat alone in the Irrational Exuberance Zone with a predicted winning margin of 55 points. Believers in the VUHoops Crowd who put down money on this game were big winners, taking 'NOVA giving 9.5 points and the OVER. Speaking of money, we raised $137.50 in this game toward a donation to Villanova Men's Basketball and NovaDave's Wawa Arena At Villanova, bringing our cumulative funds raised to $430. Finally, speaking of NovaDave, he took the brass ring in this round, just missing a hole-in-one with a predicted score of 88-75. VUHoops Staffer Noah Thacker just missed getting points with a prediction of 84-72, but does remain in first place in the contest with five points.

Howard Smith-USA TODAY Sports

RESULTS: With the Cats convincing win over Xavier, 88 – 75, we congratulate seven VUHoops readers who earned points in this round.

  1. NovaDave (Nova 88, Xavier 73) awarded 3 points
  2. Nova09nyc (Nova 83, Xavier 75) awarded 2 points
  3. WreckinCrew56-55-53-58 (Nova 85, Xavier 77) awarded 2 points
  4. Marty1029 (Nova 85, Xavier 78) awarded 1 points
  5. NovaEngineer (Nova 82, Xavier 75) awarded 1 point
  6. nynovascott (Nova 84, Xavier 77) awarded 1 point
  7. Ramon Usategui (Nova 88, Xavier 81) awarded 1 point

The updated leader board after five rounds is provided below.

Player Points
Noah Thacker 5
NovaDave 4
NovaKG 4
youngBUCK 4
drpainosaurus 3
John-Knee V 3
SMOKIN JAY WRIGHT 3
Terchmil 3
Johnny Burke 2
jpbfrog 2
kevin.pulsifer 2
nationer15 2
nova09nyc 2
NovaEngineer 2
speedracer33 2
Sweetness and Light 2
villadelphiapa 2
willyannan 2
WreckinCrew56-55-53-58 2
Zxcvbnmmnbvcxz 2
Eberz for 3! 1
Kantcant 1
marty1029 1
nynovascott 1
Philanova 1
Ramon Usategui 1
ryanschock24 1
StephDon 1
villanovakevin14 1

VUHOOPS vs. VEGAS: Based on the average predicted scores of the VUHoops Crowd and the posted Vegas line, we would have had a DOUBLE-WIN by betting NOVA giving 9.5 points (WIN) and betting the OVER (WIN). After six rounds, we would be even money.

UPDATE (January 14, 9:00 PM) ... Recapped below is the way the VUHoops Crowd see this one so far:

# Reader Predictions:  55

% Picking Cats to Win: 100%

$ Raised for Nova Men’s Basketball (this game): $137.50

$ Raised for Nova Men’s Basketball (cumulative): $430.00

Wisdom of VUHoops' Crowd Prediction:

o Spread: Villanova -13.0

o Over/Under: 147.0

o Final Score: Nova 80 - Xavier 67

Vegas Odds Makers' Prediction:

o Spread: Villanova: -9.5

o Over/Under: 143.5

o Final Score: Nova 77- Xavier 67

SCATTER PLOT OF PREDICTED SCORES

CTTP Xavier Jan 2015

Window Opening (January 14, 10:00 AM): The window is now open for you to post your predicted final score for Wednesday's game vs. Xavier, the only team that beat Villanova so far this season. The official contest rules are posted HERE.

After five rounds, Noah Thacker is in the lead with five points. The full Leader Board is posted HERE.

Don't forget that you support Villanova Men's Basketball by playing Closest to the Pin.  A contribution of $2.50 will be made to Villanova Men's Basketball and Nova Dave’s Wawa Arena at Villanova for each score posted over the final nine conference home games up to a maximum of $5,000. We raised only $292 so far. Let’s try to up the ante by raising $250 in this round by getting 100 readers to post predictions!

The table below provides a head-to-head comparison of the two teams.


'Nova Xavier
Record 15-1 (3-1) 11-5 (2-2)
AP Ranking #8 NR
RPI #5 #34
SOS #19 #25
Avg. Points Scored 77.1 79
Avg. Points Allowed 60.5 67.6

Villanova's best win this season was over VCU (AP #20; RPI #4), while the Cat’s only loss was at Seton Hall (AP #19; RPI #12). Xavier’s best win was vs. Seton Hall, while their worst loss came at DePaul (RPI #174).

Enter your predicted final score in the comments section in the format: NOVA xx, Xavier yy. Good luck!