We’ve been conducting the Wisdom of Crowds polls since 2010, and one thing we have seen consistently in past polls is that the whole is worth less than the sum of its parts. That is, we generally are more optimistic about the PPG predictions for individual players than the team as a whole. Accordingly, when we wrap up the poll by calculating the average PPG predictions for individual players, we normalize the predictions to align them with predicted PPG for the team.
So we now move on to our final step in the Wisdom of Crowds Experiment polling, where we ask you to predict the PPG the team will score this season. To the extent history is a guide, we have provided the team PPG stats since Jay Wright took over as head coach in 2001 in the table below. Shortening the shot clock from 35 seconds to 30 this season necessitates caution when drawing comparisons to scoring in prior seasons.
|Season||PTS||W||L||AP Final||NCAA Tournament|
|2014-15||76.5||33||3||2||Lost Third Round|
|2013-14||78||29||5||6||Lost Third Round|
|2012-13||67.9||20||14||Lost Second Round|
|2010-11||72.2||21||12||Lost Second Round|
|2009-10||81.8||25||8||9||Lost Second Round|
|2008-09||76.8||30||8||11||Lost National Semifinal|
|2007-08||72.8||22||13||Lost Regional Semifinal|
|2006-07||72.5||22||11||Lost First Round|
|2005-06||74.2||28||5||3||Lost Regional Final|
|2004-05||73||24||8||19||Lost Regional Semifinal|