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2015 Villanova Basketball Preview: Team Scoring

Brad Penner-USA TODAY Sports

We’ve been conducting the Wisdom of Crowds polls since 2010, and one thing we have seen consistently in past polls is that the whole is worth less than the sum of its parts. That is, we generally are more optimistic about the PPG predictions for individual players than the team as a whole. Accordingly, when we wrap up the poll by calculating the average PPG predictions for individual players, we normalize the predictions to align them with predicted PPG for the team.

So we now move on to our final step in the Wisdom of Crowds Experiment polling, where we ask you to predict the PPG the team will score this season. To the extent history is a guide, we have provided the team PPG stats since Jay Wright took over as head coach in 2001 in the table below. Shortening the shot clock from 35 seconds to 30 this season necessitates caution when drawing comparisons to scoring in prior seasons.

Season PTS W L AP Final NCAA Tournament
2014-15 76.5 33 3 2 Lost Third Round
2013-14 78 29 5 6 Lost Third Round
2012-13 67.9 20 14 Lost Second Round
2011-12 70.8 13 19
2010-11 72.2 21 12 Lost Second Round
2009-10 81.8 25 8 9 Lost Second Round
2008-09 76.8 30 8 11 Lost National Semifinal
2007-08 72.8 22 13 Lost Regional Semifinal
2006-07 72.5 22 11 Lost First Round
2005-06 74.2 28 5 3 Lost Regional Final
2004-05 73 24 8 19 Lost Regional Semifinal
2003-04 70.6 18 17
2002-03 71.8 15 16
2001-02 70.8 19 13
AVERAGE 73.6 22.8 10.9