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Closest to the Pin Round 4 - Providence

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BosshogHazzard and PokerChris were paired in the Exuberance Zone, predicting an average winning margin of 39 points. Vegas saw the Cats winning this one by 12.5, while the VUHoops crowd called it a bit closer at a 9.0 point margin. Providence proved everyone wrong except Daniel McNamara, handing Villanova its first Conference loss by 6 pts. Six players found a very big green, but none were remotely close to the pin. We raised $285 in this game for Villanova Men's basketball and Nova Dave's Wawa Arena at Villanova, bringing the total raised over four games to $1,320.

Jim O'Connor-USA TODAY Sports

RESULTS: With the Cats disappointing loss to Providence, 76 - 82, we congratulate six VUHoops readers who scored in this round, as follows:

Player

Nova

Providence

PTS

jnmurf16

81

77

3

Terchmil

77

71

2

CatsPatsSox

80

73

1

Johnny Burke

76

69

1

jwscones

78

71

1

Zxcvbnmmnbvcxz

77

70

1

Leader Board (After 4 Rounds)

PLAYER PTS
drewnardone 3
jnmurf16 3
Johnny Burke 3
johnpaul99 3
novAbrasion 3
NovaKG 3
patqueenan 3
Xyznova 3
jackieboy_98 2
Kantcant 2
Novabrasion2 2
pink lady 2
Terchmil 2
BosshoggHazzard 1
CatsPatsSox 1
champs'02 1
Chris Lane 1
Eberz for 3! 1
jwscones 1
son of 61 alum 1
Steve92 1
Zxcvbnmmnbvcxz 1

VUHOOPS vs. VEGAS: A theoretical gambler making two rational wagers betting the spread and total score with complete faith and confidence in the insights of the VUHoops Crowd (as expressed in the median predicted scores for Villanova and Providence vs. the posted Vegas line on the game) would have had a DOUBLE WIN. He would have taken Providence getting 12.5 points ($100 WIN) and bet the OVER ($100 WIN). The details are shown below. Contest-to-date, the theoretical gambler would be up $200.

Spread

Over / Under

VUHoops

Nova - 9.0

139.0

Vegas

Nova -12.5

137.0

Bet

Friars +12.5

OVER

Actual

Friars  by 6.0

158.0

Outcome

Win

Win

Payoff

+100

+100

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UPDATE (January 24, 1:00PM - Tip Off) ... Recapped below is the way the VUHoops Crowd see this one:

· # Reader Predictions:  57

· % Picking Cats to Win: 98%

· $ Raised for Nova Men's Basketball (this game): $285

· $ Raised for Nova Men's Basketball (cumulative): $1,320

Wisdom of VUHoops Crowd's Prediction:

· Spread: Villanova -9.0

· Over/Under: 139.0

· Final Score: Nova 74 - Providence 65

Vegas Odds Makers' Prediction:

· Spread: Villanova: -12.5

· Over/Under: 137

· Final Score: Nova 75 - Providence 62

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Window Opening (January 23, 8:00AM): The window is now open for our readers to post their predicted final scores for Villanova's game vs. Providence on Sunday. The official contest rules are posted HERE.

After three rounds, we have 17 players on the leaderboard and a six-way tie for first place, which is shared among drewnardone, johnpaul99, novAbrasion, NovaKG, patqueenan, and Xyznova. The full Leader Board is posted HERE.

The table below provides a head-to-head comparison of the two teams.


'Nova

Providence

Record

17-2 (7-0)

16-3   (4-2)

AP Ranking

#4

#16

RPI

#1

#24

SOS

#2

#46

Avg. Pts. Scored

75.6

74.1

Avg. Pts. Allowed

60.6

66.6

Enter your predicted final score in the comments section in the format: NOVA xx, Providence yy.

The comments will close when the game tips off.  Good luck!